Frontline Taliban units are letting the Americans do their thing at the airport. But I’m not sure it’s believable they’ll restrain themselves until the end of the month. Or that their commanders will accept a two week long evacuation of many of their erstwhile opponents. 
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They’re certainly doing that now. But half a month is a different matter. But getting people out takes time.
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Agreed, that's why my lack of confidence. Overall I'd guess it will come down to a discipline question - can the leadership keep their guys from doing something foolish but emotionally satisfying and for how long. Not forever, I think.
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