I have thoughts on this topic forthcoming in two different places, but broadly I think this is correct. American civ-mil has real problems and we need to course correct. I increasingly think the AVF itself is not the right force for the road ahead, but also issues at home.https://twitter.com/RadioFreeTom/status/1383805599154991121 …
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Yes, the AVF was a pretty clear response to draft resistance - just like the Roman shift to volunteers in the back third of the second century BC, though there is complexity here.
But part of what the Gates Commission did was assure everyone that an American AVF could be rapidly scaled up. It presented a 'have your cake and eat it too' rationale for the shift everyone already wanted to make (Nixon had already been elected on eliminating the draft).
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I have a public-facing piece coming up which essentially spends 5,500 words calling BS on the Gates Commission's optimistic appraisal and suggesting a sober reading of, inter alia, Roman history, ought to have suggested some of the problems they explained away were real.
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In part because we are now seeing those exact problems - an inability to scale up, isolation and alienation of the AVF, increasing peacetime cost, etc - quite vividly. Of course the Gates Commission didn't include any historians so.............
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