Deploying to the Med. without the ability to control or influence either Gibraltar or the Suez seems like a good way to lose part of your fleet instantly at the beginning of hostilities - much like the fate of German naval squadrons at sea when WWI broke out?
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Sure. I just think we ought to acknowledge that the geography is challenging for the PRC. The US Navy has two coastlines, joined by a canal we more-or-less control. Our communications in the Pacific run past a lot of islands that are friendly or we control.
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For the PRC operating in the Med., their lines run through a strait they may not control, past the coast of a regional geostrategic rival, through a sea they may not control, through a canal they don't control. It's not impossible, but it's trickier.
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They have a lot more diplomacy to do before that's workable. And obviously part of the Belt-and-Road is designed to lay the groundwork for that, with mixed success.
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Pompey's historical strategy against pirates was to occupy the coastal zone and deny them access to the sea entirely. But I think perhaps the better model here is Agrippa vs. Antony - make sure the conflict takes place on waters where you have the logistics edge.
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