I'm not an expert but I also assume these only have no particular partisan impact against the backdrop of a country in which most people don't vote; the electorate we're taking as a baseline is always already gerrymanderedhttps://twitter.com/jbouie/status/1378416124614877184 …
BUT I think we can absolutely see that changes in the turnout model *are* changing the GOP - a lot of the Trumpy energy is coming from 'low propensity voters' after all who are just now turning out. It's caused a lot of sudden shifts in GOP positions e.g. on trade, etc.
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I think there is an assumption that a 100% turnout democratic party would be much more progressive, but this doesn't seem to be borne out by the data - left-progressives already vote at high rates, the low-propensity democratic voters tend to be more conservative.
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We've argued about this before, I think liberal/conservative self-identification is next to useless when thinking about what kinds of actual policy would be driven by different groups of voters.
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