Yup. This tendency, to take 'promise' over a proven track record (if that track record isn't acquired in a TT position itself), is one of the most pointless and counter-productive things in academic hiring. But it's there and very strong. https://twitter.com/dbessner/status/1352498664715952129 …
Absolutely agree with the notion that they can 'shape' someone, but I think that committees that think that are mistaken - the issue they have is not wet clay vs. a finished pot. They have two finished pots - and are merely blind to the shape of one of them!
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That was unclear: I agree that committees seem to believe that they can do this - I've heard as much in discussions of other dept's searches - but I think committees that tell themselves they can shape an ABD hire are generally fooling themselves about it.
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I think that's right. But an ABD can also BS: "for my next project...a new course I'd like to develop...a new area I'd like to explore" And it might even be true if they get the job. They can still act like clay.
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