I disagree. The historian Charles Bartlett called it a "severe economic crisis", and every financial and economic historian I have read on the subject thought it was a serious financial crisis. Perhaps it takes people with banking experience or knowledge of financial history...
Meanwhile, following more recent models of Roman economic activity (e.g. Hopkins, "Rent, Taxes and Trade" (1995/6) might well suggest currency inflows to Rome, rather than outflows.
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That's very interesting. Typically soaring real estate prices lead to a "wealth effect" and outflows, and Rome at the time seems to have been importing a lot of luxury goods, according to Temin, which also would have suggested metallic outflows.
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This is a tributary empire. The state is collecting taxes from the whole of the empire, some significant fraction of which are spent in Italy, which itself pays almost no taxes at all.
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