I personally would read that book.
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Vastauksena käyttäjälle @prchovanec
There is no book about it as far as I know, Patrick, and if there were I would buy it immediately, but it is the first well-recorded financial crisis in history, and is discussed in many sources and places, including by Tacitus and Suetonius. It involved falling real estate...
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Vastauksena käyttäjille @michaelxpettis ja @prchovanec
...prices, financial fraud, contagion from places as far as Alexandria, Antioch, and northern Gaul, bank runs, panicked crowds, and banking collapses (including that of the leading firm of Brothers Pettius, who I like to pretend were distant relatives), and it wasn't resolved...
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Vastauksena käyttäjille @michaelxpettis ja @prchovanec
huh, I really want a book on this too now.
@BretDevereaux know anyone who's written on this?2 vastausta 0 uudelleentwiittausta 5 tykkäystä -
The primary source material is Tac. Ann. 6.16-17 and Suet. Tib. 48.
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Vastauksena käyttäjille @BretDevereaux, @BeijingPalmer ja
Though unless there is attestation in other sources, I'm not sure it quite matches the grand description given above. The senate, in a bout of moralizing, attempted to crack down on usury, stipulating that money lent at interest should be recalled and invested into land.
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Vastauksena käyttäjille @BretDevereaux, @BeijingPalmer ja
Presumably the intent being to convert debt assets into land assets. Instead, land prices collapsed as leveraged aristocrats rushed to sell land to cover their debts (which of course made it impossible for them to cover their debts).
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Vastauksena käyttäjille @BretDevereaux, @BeijingPalmer ja
So essentially, a liquidity crisis created by the senate's moralizing. Tiberius eventually resolves the problem by dumping money into the banking system and offering interest-free loans on the security of land, essentially bailing out both the bankers and the landholders.
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Vastauksena käyttäjille @BretDevereaux, @BeijingPalmer ja
Tacitus really wants to connect this to the Sejanus affair, but the banking crisis in in 33, Sejanus is dead in 31, so I'm not sure I buy it.
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Vastauksena käyttäjille @BretDevereaux, @BeijingPalmer ja
I'm not sure we should regard the affair as a major crisis. Dio gives it literally only a sentence (58.21.5) and thinks it mainly important because it resulted in the death of a notable equestrian by suicide before Tiberius bails everyone out.
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Mostly it is one more episode to file under "political and cultural elites do not understand debt instruments and every so often make moralizing decisions about debt instruments with catastrophic results" - a file that, is, of course, very much still open for new entries.
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Vastauksena käyttäjille @BretDevereaux, @BeijingPalmer ja
And I suppose I should note that these - Tacitus, Suetonius and Dio - are all sources that like to magnify Tiberius' failings, so if they are treating this as a fairly minor, brief hiccup rather than a major crisis, I tend to believe them, barring other evidence I've missed.
0 vastausta 0 uudelleentwiittausta 0 tykkäystäKiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
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