It's interesting to think the United States will have two single-term presidents in a row.
Has Biden promised not to run for a second term? If not, I'd still think the highest probability outcome, given incumbent advantage, is 2 Biden terms. I mean, for health, age reasons, I wouldn't give it better than coinflip. But like, 40% where a lot of outcomes split the rest.
-
-
You are also a lot more bullish about Biden's first term ending with literally one single meaningful accomplishment than I am
-
Sure, but even if it doesn't - the economy is likely to be better in four years than now. Incumbents with economic recoveries tend to do very well electorally!
- Näytä vastaukset
Uusi keskustelu -
-
-
I’ve bought the ‘visibily failing’ line from Joe Rogan. I guess we will know in 6 months or so.
Kiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
-
-
-
This is overgeneralizing from small sample size, but no former vp (of the same party as his president) has ever served a full 8 years.
Kiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
-
Lataaminen näyttää kestävän hetken.
Twitter saattaa olla ruuhkautunut tai ongelma on muuten hetkellinen. Yritä uudelleen tai käy Twitterin tilasivulla saadaksesi lisätietoja.