I am not ready to celebrate until at least one of these key states changes who is leading, or AZ runs out of ballots to count.
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Vastauksena käyttäjälle @BretDevereaux
Looking at https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-election-scraper/battleground-state-changes.html … I suspect Georgia will turn over very soon. AZ—well, if the current rate continues Trump will take it, but of course I don't know if the current rate will continue. PA will be decisive, but I'd guess tomorrow for it.
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Vastauksena käyttäjälle @SteveBellovin
If GA turns over, it's done. Trump has no route without GA. he could win everything else (except NV, which hasn't been called but appears to be clearly out of reach) and still lose. So hopefully GA does turn over very soon and spares my nerves.
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Vastauksena käyttäjille @BretDevereaux ja @SteveBellovin
And I guess good news - after you posted that, we got a dump of almost 30,000 votes in AZ and Trump was several points below the target he needs to keep pace to catch Biden.
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Vastauksena käyttäjälle @BretDevereaux
Yah. Georgia has 16 electoral votes, which would put Biden at 269. That, plus any one more state, is it.
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Well and barring Trump getting some unexpected divine intervention, Nevada is done. Trump needs to win the votes there by 4-5 points, but he's *losing* them as they come in by 7 or so. And it doesn't look like that's going to change.
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