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It seems worth noting that what Biden is attempting today is not often done. Just four sitting presidents in the last century have failed to be reelected. You can prune that list of presidents further. Ford was never elected - he was running for election, not reelection.
And H.W. Bush's administration was often perceived as a continuation of Reagan and so in a sense he was running for a fourth term, not a second. Should he lose, Trump would stand with just Carter and Hoover in the last century in the pantheon of presidential failures...
But even more than that, looking globally, authoritarian populists almost never are simply routed out of office at the next election. Typically, by the time the people recognize the danger, the authoritarian populist is too entrenched to be simply voted out.
Today, we will see if enough Americans have learned the lesson of those examples: don't wait.
What about Nixon? If he had been able to run again, would he have lost? Probably, but we'll never know.
Nixon was in his second term when he resigned. '68 and '72.
If pruning out Ford, could put Johnson in?
He didn't run in the general.
Nah, second terms were rare until the late 20th century.
The question is not second terms but situations in which a sitting president runs for reelection and loses. That remains uncommon even in the 19th century. Ten times total in American history.
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