While I am pretty sure that the PRC is making a strategic error where costs will far outweigh gains, that makes me no happier that it looks very much like the Hong Kong we've known (me only from afar) is coming to an end. Freedom retreats; the world gets a little darker.
-
...who have been warning that PRC investment, the Belt-and-Road or PRC-linked firms were the thin end of an influence wedge that would lead to vassalage. The problem is less "PRC did a bad thing," but instead "PRC contradicted the fundamental thesis of its foreign policy."
What Andre Beaufre described as a 'false note.' It both triggers human risk/change aversion (we grow comfortable with the evils we know, but are shocked by the ones we don't) but also makes the false note-maker seem unpredictable, which causes other states to react...
-
-
...which tends to limit the false-note-maker's freedom of action. Another way to put it is that it 'spends down' a lot of soft-power to make a 'false note' like this. PRC has spent years building up - at great expense - soft power.
-
And the PRC's global strategy relies on soft power, at least in the near term, because they cannot project hard power. This degrades that soft power (as you see with shifting political attitudes towards the PRC over last two years), jeopardizing boarder PRC strategic aims. fin.
- Näytä vastaukset
Uusi keskustelu -
Lataaminen näyttää kestävän hetken.
Twitter saattaa olla ruuhkautunut tai ongelma on muuten hetkellinen. Yritä uudelleen tai käy Twitterin tilasivulla saadaksesi lisätietoja.