I was listening to Ezra Klein's interview with Bill Gates (https://megaphone.link/VMP9618126346 ) and Klein asked (paraphrase), "Why do we practice for war so much, but not for pandemics?" Gates shifted around the question artfully, but I want to answer it. 1/14
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We have no evidence that the Romans did that sort of thing. They do not appear to have had the institutions which would have planned those details out. The key institution for that kind of planning is the General Staff. 9/14
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The general staff emerges (I simplify a bit) in Prussia as a response to the pressures of the Napoleonic wars and the need for an institution that can manage the absolutely massive mobilizations of that war. In a war, it would manage the operational movement of armies... 10/14
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...and in peace time, the staff would be preparing for the next war by refining war plans, complete with logistics and mobilization tables. It was a radically new way to plan wars, which proved valuable in 1870, such that by 1914, basically everyone had one. 11/14
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So the greater Mediterranean cultural zone took about 4,000 years of intense state-on-state warfare to develop the planning institutions we take for granted today. We've designed our states around armies (because having armies was the key original purpose of the state) 12/14
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But we've really only had a hope of doing anything about a viral pandemic since the 1850s or so with the advent of germ theory. This is America's second big global pandemic in the age of modern medicine. But it's our 12ish major war. 13/14
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So I think the answer to
@ezraklein's question - which was a good one - is that we've been able to kill other humans much longer than we have been able to kill viruses. Consequently, we are better prepared for the former because we have so much more practice at it. end/14Näytä tämä ketju
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