This thing here. I would quite frankly be stunned if the United States had fewer deaths than any individual European country, because the pop. of the US is much larger (closer to the pop. of the whole EU than any member state). (Also including China's dubious figures is silly)https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1247251361718288387 …
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I have no idea how bad things will get in the USA, but they have a LONG way to go to get equivalently bad. Right now, the EU is at something like 112 deaths per million average, where the USA is at 32. So I stick by that aggregate country-by-country figures are misleading.
That's not a defense of this or that policy - it may just mean the flood is yet to hit us. Or our lower general population density means we lucked out. Or we lucked out by being a bit later in the wave, so we had more time to oh-crap-isolate. But we should notice it nonetheless.
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Wouldn’t you also need to control for population density? Being less dense (as the US compared to much of Europe) is a “natural” barrier for pandemic spread, no?
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Probably. Then we also need to account for freedom of movement.
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