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Oh, thanks! There's a lot there. It raises a question that has bothered me too - how on earth do you feed so large of a quarantined city (only to conclude that if anyone knows, they're not telling; seat-of-the-pants logistics for 11 million people seem unlikely to succeed.)
I may know very little about China and next to nothing about medicine, but I know quite a lot about logistics. The material requirements for survival for a civilian population of 10+ million are massive. Failure to supply the city will make the quarantine unenforceable.
so I suspect Wuhan may actually be best off here because there's so much focus on it. it'd be secondary cities and small towns swept up in the quarantine zone that may be dangerously neglected. (also the best guess of the population of the city at the moment is 6-7 million)
That's probably true. I'm just thinking - were this an army, the preparation for maintaining it on centralized supply lines to maintain the quarantine would require a *lot* of staff work, a lot of preparation. Esp. if you need to avoid contamination in the process.
Assuming they shipped something like MREs, you're still probably looking at 1,500g per person per day - c. 17,000 tons in food alone, *per day.* Add in medical supplies, necessities (soap is hardly a luxury in this case), etc... How do you do that without contamination?
This was exactly my thought as well. Regardless of quarantine effectiveness there was no sufficient logistics preparation. This is a rapidly deteriorating situation.
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