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BretBaier's profile
Bret Baier
Bret Baier
Bret Baier
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@BretBaier

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Bret BaierVerified account

@BretBaier

Bret Baier:Chief Political Anchor @FoxNews. Anchor & Executive Editor of @SpecialReport. NYT bestselling author. @3DaysinMoscow book available now.

Washington, DC
bretbaier.com
Joined January 2009

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    Bret Baier‏Verified account @BretBaier Aug 23

    Bret Baier Retweeted Linda Harden

    What size sample do think you would need to call it a “reliable poll”? Or is it what results you would need to see?https://twitter.com/LindaHarden/status/1032764186420568064 …

    Bret Baier added,

    Linda Harden @LindaHarden
    @BretBaier @FoxNews When was the last time you saw a reliable poll. Answer: Never. Stop trying to sway public people with these stupid polls. How were the 1,000 “registered voters” selected? Dems or Republicans?
    4:05 PM - 23 Aug 2018
    • 16 Retweets
    • 173 Likes
    • Shauna McAdams Mary York E A W PARKER Debbie Smith Gina Hines Fred A.Whitten Kay Frances Beall GaryTap Joe Peyronnin
    133 replies 16 retweets 173 likes
      1. New conversation
      2.  🇺🇸 Rodzilla‏ @clantro Aug 23
        Replying to @BretBaier

        You should be polling “likely voters” especially in a midterm election where turnout is historically low compared to presidential election years. Polling “Registered voters” is nothing but for ratings and unneeded drama. Most people do not understand the difference.

        1 reply 4 retweets 3 likes
      3. 1 more reply
      1. Jody Taylor‏ @JodyTaylor10 Aug 23
        Replying to @BretBaier

        Tbh, I don’t think those being polled necessarily tell the truth. I don’t think polls are relevant anymore. The mid-terms will be a good test.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. FamouslyUnfamous‏ @unfamous81 Aug 23
        Replying to @BretBaier

        Poll the dead ones first! Then Poll the Living. Subtract the Dead Votes and there is your tally!

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. Drew Arnold‏ @Drew_Arnold Aug 23
        Replying to @BretBaier

        Fox does pretty well in @FiveThirtyEight's pollster ratings: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/ …pic.twitter.com/QY0hjTKtTU

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. John Fischer‏ @jedi_medic217 Aug 23
        Replying to @BretBaier

        100,000 minimum.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. The Sources‏ @SourcesForCNN Aug 23
        Replying to @BretBaier

        1,000 people. 500 from rural locations, 500 from suburban and urban areas. 20 per state, split as above. That's a poll I'd believe. Until then I don't trust polls from anyone in the media.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Zachary M.‏ @DiracDeltaForce Aug 23
        Replying to @SourcesForCNN @BretBaier

        That's biased as well. 20 per state weights Montana too much and Texas too little. 500 in rural weights rural too much because less than half of the population lives in rural areas. A random sampling as done here is the correct mathematically sound statistical method.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. The Sources‏ @SourcesForCNN Aug 23
        Replying to @DiracDeltaForce @BretBaier

        The problem is (while my numbers were indeed tossed out almost at random) a "random sampling" is invariably taken in one city. One town. Etc.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Zachary M.‏ @DiracDeltaForce Aug 23
        Replying to @SourcesForCNN @BretBaier

        You have a citation for that? @foxnewspoll seems pretty transparent in their methodology. I'm no Fox News apologist, but I am a science proponent. And this is sound statistical methodology.http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/08/07/fox-news-poll-methodology-statement.html …

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      6. The Sources‏ @SourcesForCNN Aug 23
        Replying to @DiracDeltaForce @BretBaier @foxnewspoll

        Hmm. Never actually read that for Fox News, for some reason. There again, at work, I mostly monitor Leftist outlets. Not a bad system. You'd get, statistically, the occasional poll weighted due to RNG, but otherwise it's not bad. My apologies @FoxNews

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. End of conversation
      1. Burt Carey‏ @BurtCarey Aug 23
        Replying to @BretBaier

        Polls are unreliable for several reasons. Most political polls are weighted by party affiliation & ask "loaded" questions. Registered voters vs. likely voters = different results. Calling only landlines isn't "random." Can't tabulate voter ignorance & people who lie.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. NADINE SZEWCZYK‏ @ADKROADGODDESS Aug 23
        Replying to @BretBaier

        I don't agree with the poll numbers. I have a sneaky suspicion there are more people out there like me. After the 2016 election I have no trust in polls

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Dave Herculon‏ @DaveEverlasting Aug 23
        Replying to @BretBaier

        Trump is your President.... and her ⬇️career is Dead. Flush your fake polls.pic.twitter.com/cVC2yjpeZf

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Bill Levasseur‏ @LevasseurBill Aug 23
        Replying to @BretBaier

        How about a 110 thousand. I'm amazed people believe all these polls of basically 1500 people out of millions in this country. Ridiculous

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Bruce Grey Tedesco‏ @BruceTedesco Aug 23
        Replying to @BretBaier

        She has a point. I've been in the failing survey polling industry for 30+ yrs. They catch some trends, but not many close predictions. @GillianHTurner @MikeEmanuelFox @MariaBartiromo

        0 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
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      1. Steven‏ @slezell Aug 23
        Replying to @BretBaier

        Bret is right. You only need 400 for a statistically significant poll. Now, if these are landlines, you're not getting random results, but its close.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Saber  💯  🌐  🇺🇸‏ @SaberX01 Aug 23
        Replying to @BretBaier

        Borrowed quote, can't recall from where: Note, a statistically significant result may be of "No Practical Significance".

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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