No one person or institution is at fault for Trump. Everyone has their favorite monocausal explanation. They're all incomplete.
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We can sort through root causes later. Here's where we are: Someone could capture a major party nom who endorses violence & few seem alarmed
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I honestly thought our institutions were more robust to a Trump-like figure & that others in public life were more committed to dem. norms
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Brendan Nyhan Retweeted Matt Glassman
We may narrowly avert disaster per below but even if we do, no one should congratulate themselves on a great victoryhttps://twitter.com/MattGlassman312/status/709176665646039040 …
Brendan Nyhan added,
Matt Glassman @MattGlassman312@BrendanNyhan so I'm not ready to blame the institutions. Yet. What we may see is resilient institutions handle this and avoid disaster.40 retweets 75 likes -
We're looking over the precipice and I mostly hear crickets. Trump could be on his way toward the GOP nomination after *Tuesday* night
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One reason: much of the "this will end soon..." rationalizing (which I once shared) has now shifted to general. No one should be comforted.
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A major party nomination is a powerful thing. Millions of people will instinctively support Trump. Many/most GOP pols will back him.
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General elections can be won and lost on chance swings in the economy or foreign policy crises. There are no guarantees at that point.
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And even if Trump loses, the exits he could prompt from the party could leave his sympathizers with control of a major party going forward
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Trumpism may yet be revealed as cult of personality with no staying power. He has no factional base or issue to realign party over long term
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But no one should be comforted about the point we're at with Trump or what it has revealed about the health of our political system.
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@BrendanNyhan Nightmare scenario for US: Trump & Clinton clinch nominations, then a new scandal or economic crash gives him a chance to win.3 retweets 18 likes - View other replies
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@jpitney@BrendanNyhan 1% chance of Trump win is too high - but also too low to keep Dem nominee honest. Deprives us of meaningful campaign.2 retweets 3 likes
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Alex Schleber Retweeted
@BrendanNyhan many good pts, except should there really be such surprise about a "reveal", when there's e.g. this: https://twitter.com/patrickc/status/709060312759029761 …Alex Schleber added,
This Tweet is unavailable.3 retweets 5 likes -
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@BrendanNyhan Seems like it's revealed a LOT about the Republicans and the media not the Democrats0 retweets 1 like -
@BrendanNyhan Too much Entertainment culture~not demanding the entertainment be FILLED with something good. Each show on tv-Philosophy0 retweets 0 likes -
@BrendanNyhan I know! Impassioned citizens going to political rallies and protests? Make them stop!0 retweets 0 likes -
@BrendanNyhan@beardedstoner or the health of our *country*. It's fucking depressing.0 retweets 0 likes -
@BrendanNyhan@instapundit Trump not Hitler or Nazis, but the US citizens are FED. UP. and are crying out for a strong, authoritarian leader0 retweets 0 likes -
@BrendanNyhan@instapundit I am terrified in the parallels I see now to post-WWI Germany in '20s. Lots of parallels, I think. 1/20 retweets 0 likes -
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@BrendanNyhan Everyone should be donating to anti-trump super PACs. Everyone. We can stop him, its not too late https://www.citizensuperpac.com/heil-trump0 retweets 0 likes -
@BrendanNyhan denial...denial...denial GOP political system perfectly healthy; problem is the one issue nationalism.0 retweets 0 likes -
@BrendanNyhan 2. How can party wrest control from media, particularly Murdoch who has controlled most UK PMs since Thatcher & wants US pres?0 retweets 0 likes -
@BrendanNyhan 1. GOP turned its media into party's leaders. Pols had to parrot them & pander to voters conditioned to accept media views.0 retweets 0 likes
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