Shockingly few public figures and elites are defending the norms of public debate and restraint from violence that Trump is bulldozing.
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These norms are fragile precisely because, per
@emilythorson, they are not formal or legal. And they are hard to restore once breached.139 retweets 216 likes -
No one person or institution is at fault for Trump. Everyone has their favorite monocausal explanation. They're all incomplete.
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We can sort through root causes later. Here's where we are: Someone could capture a major party nom who endorses violence & few seem alarmed
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I honestly thought our institutions were more robust to a Trump-like figure & that others in public life were more committed to dem. norms
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Brendan Nyhan Retweeted Matt Glassman
We may narrowly avert disaster per below but even if we do, no one should congratulate themselves on a great victoryhttps://twitter.com/MattGlassman312/status/709176665646039040 …
Brendan Nyhan added,
Matt Glassman @MattGlassman312@BrendanNyhan so I'm not ready to blame the institutions. Yet. What we may see is resilient institutions handle this and avoid disaster.40 retweets 75 likes -
We're looking over the precipice and I mostly hear crickets. Trump could be on his way toward the GOP nomination after *Tuesday* night
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One reason: much of the "this will end soon..." rationalizing (which I once shared) has now shifted to general. No one should be comforted.
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A major party nomination is a powerful thing. Millions of people will instinctively support Trump. Many/most GOP pols will back him.
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General elections can be won and lost on chance swings in the economy or foreign policy crises. There are no guarantees at that point.
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And even if Trump loses, the exits he could prompt from the party could leave his sympathizers with control of a major party going forward
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Trumpism may yet be revealed as cult of personality with no staying power. He has no factional base or issue to realign party over long term
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But no one should be comforted about the point we're at with Trump or what it has revealed about the health of our political system.
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@BrendanNyhan Nightmare scenario for US: Trump & Clinton clinch nominations, then a new scandal or economic crash gives him a chance to win.3 retweets 18 likes - View other replies
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@BrendanNyhan there isn't a future where the GOP doesn't fracture over this. Either he runs independent or conservatives have to.4 retweets 11 likes -
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@CmonBeNiceGeez@BrendanNyhan No I won't. If Rubio loses Florida, I am changing to Independent and I am done with this entire nightmare.0 retweets 0 likes -
@marnes@BrendanNyhan Someone on Twitter asked, "What should we call the new party if Trump is the nominee"? Maybe "Federalist Party"?0 retweets 0 likes - View other replies
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@marnes@BrendanNyhan (I mean, the party that will form after exodus from the Republican party). Let Republican Party keep the name, IMO0 retweets 0 likes
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@BrendanNyhan@DrewFustin exits? Where are they going? They've been trained to hate Hillary and despise Socialists. So they don't vote?0 retweets 0 likes -
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@BrendanNyhan the GOP is already controlled by his sympathizers. He just took off the masks.0 retweets 0 likes -
@BrendanNyhan seems unlikely; Trump&supporters are enamored with being outsiders, unlikely they'll be holding party's reins after a struggle0 retweets 0 likes -
@BrendanNyhan The Republican party is already dead. Long live the Republican party#PresidentTrump0 retweets 0 likes -
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Brendan Nyhan
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