Trump's rise represents a failure in American parties, media, and civic institutions - and they're continuing to fail right now
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And even if Trump loses, the exits he could prompt from the party could leave his sympathizers with control of a major party going forward
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Trumpism may yet be revealed as cult of personality with no staying power. He has no factional base or issue to realign party over long term
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But no one should be comforted about the point we're at with Trump or what it has revealed about the health of our political system.
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@BrendanNyhan Nightmare scenario for US: Trump & Clinton clinch nominations, then a new scandal or economic crash gives him a chance to win. - Show more
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@BrendanNyhan Worth mentioning surely that one group that has taken tis seriously is activists in Chicago. -
@nberlat@BrendanNyhan Felt like crying with relief when I saw those strong young protestors gathered there
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@BrendanNyhan This is important. For a major party nominee, what is minimum probability of winning? For Trump, whatever it is is too high. -
@BrendanNyhan Not to mention the effects of Voter ID & 4 yrs of additional gerrymandering. Can models predict that influence? -
@BrendanNyhan@jhkennedy oddly enough, this is why the Electoral College was created. -
@BrendanNyhan this is important. Really important--stuff can happen once he's the nominee. -
@BrendanNyhan A single act of domestic terrorism could put Trump in White House -
@BrendanNyhan@RhetoricPJ Can you give an example of this? Maybe Clinton '92? Still, a scary thought. -
@BrendanNyhan Very true. I guess it's a good thing@HillaryClinton isn't prone to scandals.
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