Trump's rise represents a failure in American parties, media, and civic institutions - and they're continuing to fail right now
-
-
Shockingly few public figures and elites are defending the norms of public debate and restraint from violence that Trump is bulldozing.
415 retweets 534 likes -
These norms are fragile precisely because, per
@emilythorson, they are not formal or legal. And they are hard to restore once breached.139 retweets 216 likes -
No one person or institution is at fault for Trump. Everyone has their favorite monocausal explanation. They're all incomplete.
124 retweets 193 likes -
We can sort through root causes later. Here's where we are: Someone could capture a major party nom who endorses violence & few seem alarmed
371 retweets 444 likes -
I honestly thought our institutions were more robust to a Trump-like figure & that others in public life were more committed to dem. norms
121 retweets 183 likes -
Brendan Nyhan Retweeted Matt Glassman
We may narrowly avert disaster per below but even if we do, no one should congratulate themselves on a great victoryhttps://twitter.com/MattGlassman312/status/709176665646039040 …
Brendan Nyhan added,
Matt Glassman @MattGlassman312@BrendanNyhan so I'm not ready to blame the institutions. Yet. What we may see is resilient institutions handle this and avoid disaster.40 retweets 75 likes -
We're looking over the precipice and I mostly hear crickets. Trump could be on his way toward the GOP nomination after *Tuesday* night
102 retweets 116 likes -
One reason: much of the "this will end soon..." rationalizing (which I once shared) has now shifted to general. No one should be comforted.
87 retweets 128 likes -
A major party nomination is a powerful thing. Millions of people will instinctively support Trump. Many/most GOP pols will back him.
112 retweets 126 likes
General elections can be won and lost on chance swings in the economy or foreign policy crises. There are no guarantees at that point.
-
-
And even if Trump loses, the exits he could prompt from the party could leave his sympathizers with control of a major party going forward
78 retweets 107 likes - View other replies
-
Trumpism may yet be revealed as cult of personality with no staying power. He has no factional base or issue to realign party over long term
78 retweets 127 likes - View other replies
-
But no one should be comforted about the point we're at with Trump or what it has revealed about the health of our political system.
104 retweets 173 likes - View other replies
-
@BrendanNyhan Nightmare scenario for US: Trump & Clinton clinch nominations, then a new scandal or economic crash gives him a chance to win.3 retweets 18 likes - View other replies
- Show more
-
-
-
.
@BrendanNyhan Worth mentioning surely that one group that has taken tis seriously is activists in Chicago.1 retweet 19 likes -
@nberlat@BrendanNyhan Felt like crying with relief when I saw those strong young protestors gathered there0 retweets 3 likes
-
-
@BrendanNyhan This is important. For a major party nominee, what is minimum probability of winning? For Trump, whatever it is is too high.1 retweet 1 like -
@BrendanNyhan Not to mention the effects of Voter ID & 4 yrs of additional gerrymandering. Can models predict that influence?0 retweets 0 likes -
@BrendanNyhan@jhkennedy oddly enough, this is why the Electoral College was created.0 retweets 0 likes -
@BrendanNyhan this is important. Really important--stuff can happen once he's the nominee.0 retweets 0 likes -
-
@BrendanNyhan@RhetoricPJ Can you give an example of this? Maybe Clinton '92? Still, a scary thought.0 retweets 0 likes -
@BrendanNyhan Very true. I guess it's a good thing@HillaryClinton isn't prone to scandals.0 retweets 0 likes
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.
Brendan Nyhan
Jack Pitney
Noah Berlatsky
mrsk
Rohrbach
Jameson Simmons
george iv
Shaun Johnson
Kennedy Connolly
Michael Mario
Brandon Waite