Brendan Nyhan
That's why I'm dubious about all the root cause psychologizing - where's data showing economic anxiety or racial hatred is that much higher?
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One reason: much of the "this will end soon..." rationalizing (which I once shared) has now shifted to general. No one should be comforted.
A major party nomination is a powerful thing. Millions of people will instinctively support Trump. Many/most GOP pols will back him.
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General elections can be won and lost on chance swings in the economy or foreign policy crises. There are no guarantees at that point.
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And even if Trump loses, the exits he could prompt from the party could leave his sympathizers with control of a major party going forward
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Trumpism may yet be revealed as cult of personality with no staying power. He has no factional base or issue to realign party over long term
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But no one should be comforted about the point we're at with Trump or what it has revealed about the health of our political system.
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@BrendanNyhan Nightmare scenario for US: Trump & Clinton clinch nominations, then a new scandal or economic crash gives him a chance to win. - View other replies
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@BrendanNyhan There will be a mass exodus from the party unseen since the Whigs were destroyed & Republicans & Lincoln took their place. - View other replies
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@AmericnElephant@BrendanNyhan Unless, God forbid, Trump actually wins. An enormous risk the GOP is taking. -
@about_scout No, Trump cannot win the general election. He is THE most hated candidate on record. He will lose in a landslide@BrendanNyhan -
@AmericnElephant@about_scout@BrendanNyhan Agreed. Trump will get at most 41%-if he runs against Hillary Clinton. Bernie 62% V Trump 36%
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@BrendanNyhan ...and will take policy cues from Trump-defined party, which openly disdains instit checks & celebrates violence & prejudice. -
@NathanKalmoe@BrendanNyhan That really is frightening, that this could make the GOP much harsher, rather than fracture/remake it.
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@BrendanNyhan ... why Democrats' nominee should not be one under scrutiny of indictment by FBI; worst Sect State US http://bit.ly/1WjONG6 -
@BrendanNyhan That's on them. -
@BrendanNyhan How can#GOP continue to allow#Trump to run under their banner when he's destroying the US? Would they support Hitler? -
@BrendanNyhan but if that party's voters want him, what, other than the rivers of words that have been devoted to objecting, can be done? -
@BrendanNyhan It's a problem of party over country! I admire Rubio now that he's admitted he can't support Trump as nom. He just grew up. -
@BrendanNyhan Many may, but I will not. It's a very difficult position to be in, but principles still matter - at least to some.
Jack Pitney
American Elephant
Scout from Texas
Ray Phenicie
Nathan Kalmoe
Justin Reedy
bwilliam46
Thomas Cantwell
Marlene
LISA LIAS
sby
Primo Sabatini
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