Sadly, we've known for decades that a subset of people have authoritarian tendencies and that hatred toward outgroups is often widespread
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People's vulnerability to Trump-like figure hasn't changed. What changed is that the institutions of Am. govt./party system legitimized one
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That's why I'm dubious about all the root cause psychologizing - where's data showing economic anxiety or racial hatred is that much higher?
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Trump's rise represents a failure in American parties, media, and civic institutions - and they're continuing to fail right now
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Shockingly few public figures and elites are defending the norms of public debate and restraint from violence that Trump is bulldozing.
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These norms are fragile precisely because, per
@emilythorson, they are not formal or legal. And they are hard to restore once breached.139 retweets 216 likes -
No one person or institution is at fault for Trump. Everyone has their favorite monocausal explanation. They're all incomplete.
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We can sort through root causes later. Here's where we are: Someone could capture a major party nom who endorses violence & few seem alarmed
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I honestly thought our institutions were more robust to a Trump-like figure & that others in public life were more committed to dem. norms
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Brendan Nyhan Retweeted Matt Glassman
We may narrowly avert disaster per below but even if we do, no one should congratulate themselves on a great victoryhttps://twitter.com/MattGlassman312/status/709176665646039040 …
Brendan Nyhan added,
Matt Glassman @MattGlassman312@BrendanNyhan so I'm not ready to blame the institutions. Yet. What we may see is resilient institutions handle this and avoid disaster.40 retweets 75 likes
We're looking over the precipice and I mostly hear crickets. Trump could be on his way toward the GOP nomination after *Tuesday* night
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One reason: much of the "this will end soon..." rationalizing (which I once shared) has now shifted to general. No one should be comforted.
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A major party nomination is a powerful thing. Millions of people will instinctively support Trump. Many/most GOP pols will back him.
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General elections can be won and lost on chance swings in the economy or foreign policy crises. There are no guarantees at that point.
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And even if Trump loses, the exits he could prompt from the party could leave his sympathizers with control of a major party going forward
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Trumpism may yet be revealed as cult of personality with no staying power. He has no factional base or issue to realign party over long term
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But no one should be comforted about the point we're at with Trump or what it has revealed about the health of our political system.
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@BrendanNyhan Nightmare scenario for US: Trump & Clinton clinch nominations, then a new scandal or economic crash gives him a chance to win.3 retweets 18 likes - View other replies
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@BrendanNyhan who are you expecting to hear from who is remaining silent? I hear lots of voices from all sides, none effective.0 retweets 1 like -
@BrendanNyhan Yes. Trump a non oligarchy candidate. Anti war, anti money in politics & anti PC. Oligarchy groupies should be scared.0 retweets 0 likes -
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@BrendanNyhan#tramps position and appeal rest heavily on anti-elitism sentiment. barking up trees- doesnt that win for him? feeds his fire?0 retweets 0 likes -
@BrendanNyhan The Democrats are literally shaking in their shoes over the possibility of a Pres. Trump or losing the White House. Which?0 retweets 0 likes -
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@BrendanNyhan Darn. You and your GOPe buddies never thought conservatives would punch back, did you?http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/03/09/mitch-mcconnell-tea-party_n_4930160.html …5:48 PM - 13 Mar 2016 · Details0 retweets 0 likes
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