At this point, I'm less outraged/surprised by the extent of Trump's public support than the passivity and acquiescence of so many elites
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Sadly, we've known for decades that a subset of people have authoritarian tendencies and that hatred toward outgroups is often widespread
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People's vulnerability to Trump-like figure hasn't changed. What changed is that the institutions of Am. govt./party system legitimized one
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That's why I'm dubious about all the root cause psychologizing - where's data showing economic anxiety or racial hatred is that much higher?
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Trump's rise represents a failure in American parties, media, and civic institutions - and they're continuing to fail right now
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Shockingly few public figures and elites are defending the norms of public debate and restraint from violence that Trump is bulldozing.
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These norms are fragile precisely because, per @emilythorson, they are not formal or legal. And they are hard to restore once breached.
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No one person or institution is at fault for Trump. Everyone has their favorite monocausal explanation. They're all incomplete.
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We can sort through root causes later. Here's where we are: Someone could capture a major party nom who endorses violence & few seem alarmed
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I honestly thought our institutions were more robust to a Trump-like figure & that others in public life were more committed to dem. norms
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Brendan Nyhan Retweeted Matt Glassman
We may narrowly avert disaster per below but even if we do, no one should congratulate themselves on a great victoryhttps://twitter.com/MattGlassman312/status/709176665646039040 …
Brendan Nyhan added,
Matt Glassman @MattGlassman312@BrendanNyhan so I'm not ready to blame the institutions. Yet. What we may see is resilient institutions handle this and avoid disaster.40 retweets 75 likes - View other replies
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We're looking over the precipice and I mostly hear crickets. Trump could be on his way toward the GOP nomination after *Tuesday* night
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One reason: much of the "this will end soon..." rationalizing (which I once shared) has now shifted to general. No one should be comforted.
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A major party nomination is a powerful thing. Millions of people will instinctively support Trump. Many/most GOP pols will back him.
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General elections can be won and lost on chance swings in the economy or foreign policy crises. There are no guarantees at that point.
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@BrendanNyhan@emilythorson Refer you to comments made by Newt Gingrich in 1994 re: rough discourse being a positive return 2 Founding of US0 retweets 0 likes -
@BrendanNyhan@emilythorson they were breached by Bush, politely. Torture report should have been Watergate level scandal.. Instead, quiet.0 retweets 0 likes -
@BrendanNyhan@emilythorson Been a long time since sociology class, but aren't norms stronger than mere laws (until broken)?0 retweets 0 likes -
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@BrendanNyhan@emilythorson I agree with you completely. I am a conservative and have already taken a NeverTrump pledge.0 retweets 0 likes -
@John_F_Donnelly Thank you very much for doing that, from someone on the other side of the aisle!0 retweets 0 likes
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Brendan Nyhan
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Michael Goldfarb
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