Brendan Nyhan
At this point, I'm less outraged/surprised by the extent of Trump's public support than the passivity and acquiescence of so many elites
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People's vulnerability to Trump-like figure hasn't changed. What changed is that the institutions of Am. govt./party system legitimized one
That's why I'm dubious about all the root cause psychologizing - where's data showing economic anxiety or racial hatred is that much higher?
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Trump's rise represents a failure in American parties, media, and civic institutions - and they're continuing to fail right now
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Shockingly few public figures and elites are defending the norms of public debate and restraint from violence that Trump is bulldozing.
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These norms are fragile precisely because, per
@emilythorson, they are not formal or legal. And they are hard to restore once breached. -
No one person or institution is at fault for Trump. Everyone has their favorite monocausal explanation. They're all incomplete.
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We can sort through root causes later. Here's where we are: Someone could capture a major party nom who endorses violence & few seem alarmed
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I honestly thought our institutions were more robust to a Trump-like figure & that others in public life were more committed to dem. norms
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We may narrowly avert disaster per below but even if we do, no one should congratulate themselves on a great victoryhttps://twitter.com/MattGlassman312/status/709176665646039040 …
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We're looking over the precipice and I mostly hear crickets. Trump could be on his way toward the GOP nomination after *Tuesday* night
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@BrendanNyhan "Nationally, 23% of 25-to-54-year-old population wasn't working in March; 18% in 2000."http://nyti.ms/1XkBO7h -
@BrendanNyhan big part of it is populist turn: you lose little-r republicanism, there's nothing to break relay btwn leader and audience -
@BrendanNyhan Strong correlation w/ Wallace vote, incl. many demographic controls. Republicans re-discover old Dem. racial cleavage w/Trump? -
@BrendanNyhan Plus data on wage stagnation, increasing mortality for lower/middle income whites? -
@BrendanNyhan We keep hearing 'anger'. Beyond loss of jobs which is timeless/universal not many of the 'angry' can answer. Sound whipped up -
@BrendanNyhan rise of authoritarian politicians is happening in Uk, France, Italy, India, etc. also Cruz is far scarier than Trump -
@BrendanNyhan US gov't failure to help people or hold anyone accountable 4 2007 hoising crisis explains some of the anti gov't sentiment -
@BrendanNyhan OMG! Have you not seen polls on Obama's birthplace, religion & vast majority of GOPers who are birthers - Trump's base? -
@BrendanNyhan Trump draws support from latent authoritarians & those truly battered economically. But confluence is catalyst — not excuse. -
@BrendanNyhan@instapundit Perception is reality among the ignorant.
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