Brendan NyhanVerified account

@BrendanNyhan

political science professor, contributor, and co-organizer. Before: / Spinsanity / All the President's Spin.

Hanover, NH
dartmouth.edu/~nyhan/
Joined October 2009
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Mar 31

    My new w/Montgomery & : How Conditioning on Posttreatment Variables Can Ruin Your Experiment & What to Do about It Read it! Share it! Teach it to your students! Cite it in your memo to ! The practice is far too prevalent

    8 replies 73 retweets 162 likes
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  2. 41 minutes ago

    Every parent has had this conversation.

    Replying to @dandrezner
    I’ll believe that Trump is growing into the presidency when his staff stops treating him like a toddler.
    2 retweets 14 likes
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  3. Retweeted
    2 hours ago

    📢 I'm looking for a postdoc with a focus on digital democracy and computational social science. Questions? Happy to answer them. Please help me spread the word! (pdf)

    3 replies 47 retweets 17 likes
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  4. 2 hours ago

    Hello motivated reasoning, my old friend: "'It’s not the narrative he wants,' one person familiar with the matter said of the White House briefings. 'He clearly didn’t find it persuasive because he keeps saying it’s untrue.'"

    White House officials gave PowerPoint presentations to debunk Trump's concerns that Amazon was dodging taxes and exploiting the U.S. Postal Service. Trump declined to believe them. Great details here: by
    1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
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  5. Retweeted
    4 hours ago

    New paper: Americans systematically underestimate income inequality. But, when they are confronted with accurate information, they increase support for redistribution.

    Americans underestimate income gaps. Survey experiment shows, learning about gaps increases demand for redistribution. Effects last for over 1 year! Presenting results today, 11.30am at (Salon 7)
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    1 reply 24 retweets 43 likes
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  6. Retweeted
    4 hours ago

    This is remarkable: One in five Americans have protested in the streets or participated in a political rally since the beginning of 2016, a new poll found. One in five of those people said they'd never before marched or gone to a political rally.

    20 replies 259 retweets 502 likes
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  7. Retweeted
    5 hours ago

    New article at the APSR: "Can Social Contact Reduce Prejudice and Discrimination? Evidence from a Field Experiment in Nigeria" "After 16 weeks of positive intergroup social contact, we find no changes in prejudice."

    2 replies 32 retweets 44 likes
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  8. 5 hours ago

    Negative partisanship rules everything around me

    The hope across the center-right is that not only sticks with but urges him to go farther and faster. The beating heart of the progressive elites that govern everyone from D.C. is in the , and has to realize the attacks are at him too.
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    7 replies 6 retweets 33 likes
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  9. 5 hours ago

    Imagine this kind of fallacious reasoning applied to decisions about war

    Trump repeats his bizarre “you can’t lose when you’ve already lost” gambling fallacy on trade with China:
    3 replies 11 retweets 34 likes
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  10. 5 hours ago

    Why AI isn’t going to solve Facebook’s fake news problem

    1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
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  11. Retweeted
    6 hours ago

    "If one were to draft a script chronicling fascism’s resurrection, the abdication of America’s moral leadership would make a credible first scene." Madeline Albright , pulling zero punches.

    5 replies 103 retweets 171 likes
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  12. 14 hours ago

    "the block inspired millions of Chinese users to acquire VPNs" who "subsequently joined censored websites" like Facebook/Twitter and "began browsing blocked political pages on Wikipedia, following Chinese political activists on Twitter, and discussing highly politicized topics"

    Now online at the APSR! “How Sudden Censorship Can Increase Access to Information” (or what happened when China blocked Instagram.) With
    1 reply 17 retweets 28 likes
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  13. 14 hours ago

    Reminder the president previously called for killing the families of ISIS fighters

    The CIA showed Trump video of a drone strike in which they had waited until the target wasn’t at home with his family. The president’s response: “Why did you wait?”
    6 replies 62 retweets 57 likes
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  14. 14 hours ago

    Life comes at you fast something something

    🙃
    9 replies 128 retweets 477 likes
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  15. Retweeted
    Apr 5

    This is a great explanation of recent minimum wage research, labor market concentration, and the need for econ 101 models of the labor market to adapt to new empirical evidence.

    4 replies 55 retweets 92 likes
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  16. Retweeted
    23 hours ago

    Like clockwork, the surge in support for stricter gun control laws after Parkland is already wearing off. We'll see whether this represents a new equilibrium. Daily tracking from :

    5 replies 48 retweets 52 likes
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  17. 15 hours ago

    If foreign intel services are not hacking or infiltrating Fox, I’d be surprised. Crazy? It’s the single most important information source for the most powerful person in the world.

    One thing that frequently happens in West Wing: Aides try to get TV guests to make certain points on shows Trump is watching. POTUS listens more when the advice is on TV, they say.
    5 replies 59 retweets 128 likes
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  18. 15 hours ago

    Agree. Recommended.

    Just listened to the first couple of episodes of the Slow Burn podcast and I’m hooked. It’s great. And the central question — how do you know if you’re in the middle of something big and historic? — is fascinating.
    11 likes
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  19. Retweeted
    16 hours ago

    Very insightful from on the rapidly declining relevance of the conservative intellectual.

    26 replies 43 retweets 125 likes
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  20. Retweeted
    Apr 5

    Trump's contradictory messages are not a bug but a feature of a demagogue in power. He wants to say both, "I've done great things for you--and only I could have gotten these things done," and "Threats remain everywhere, and I'm the only one who's willing to stand up to them."

    Trump's message on the border has been at times, seemingly contradictory. 1) Border crossings are dropping and at record lows. 2) Urgent action - including sending troops and building a wall immediately - is needed more than ever.
    133 replies 1,044 retweets 2,765 likes
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  21. Retweeted
    Apr 4

    If police exist to protect the safety and liberty of communities then officer safety cannot supercede all other considerations. Strong piece from

    25 replies 527 retweets 1,313 likes
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