Business as usual at Davos: 1.The higher the status of forecasters, the vaguer their forecasts; 2.The more politicized the topic, the vaguer the forecasts; 3.The higher the stakes, the fewer the chances to learn from big shots' forecasting mistakeshttps://twitter.com/wfrhatch/status/1219368576458592257 …
Odgovor korisniku/ci @PTetlock
Do you think the DNI Global Trends reports do a good job at forecasting? https://www.dni.gov/index.php/global-trends-home …
13:37 - 20. sij 2020.
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