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BolognaFishMD's profile
Bologna Fish, M.D.
Bologna Fish, M.D.
Bologna Fish, M.D.
@BolognaFishMD

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Bologna Fish, M.D.

@BolognaFishMD

Private practice physician. Dog lover. Don't lie.

Seattle/Northern-Southern CA
Joined September 2016

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    Bologna Fish, M.D.‏ @BolognaFishMD 3 May 2020

    The WHO got a lot right. But they definitely did not initially think asymptomatic spread was significant. "And then with asymptomatics, again it doesn’t look like that’s a big part of the picture. There was just no data that supports that." Aylward 2/25 https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-audio-emergencies-coronavirus-press-conference-aylwardb-25feb2020-final.pdf?sfvrsn=9d732ce3_0 …

    11:38 PM - 3 May 2020
    • 8 Retweets
    • 20 Likes
    • Pieter Peach Asis Mohammed Mosa Bakkar David Garner Mona Aiyar Swati Poddar MD Vincent Rajkumar lawyermom1 Bologna Fish, M.D.
    3 replies 8 retweets 20 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Bologna Fish, M.D.‏ @BolognaFishMD 3 May 2020

        "The iceberg is you’ve got critical cases, you’ve got severe cases, you’ve got mild cases and a bit of asymptomatic transmission probably at the bottom. That seems to be what it looks like." -Aylward 2/25

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        Show this thread
      3. Bologna Fish, M.D.‏ @BolognaFishMD 3 May 2020

        "...everyone's saying this thing's spreading everywhere & we can’t see it... But the data doesn't support that. What it supports is there may be a few asymptomatic cases & that probably is a real issue but there’s not huge transmission beyond what you can see clinically."

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Bologna Fish, M.D.‏ @BolognaFishMD 3 May 2020

        Just posing an open ended question here- How did they get it so wrong?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        Show this thread
      5. Bologna Fish, M.D.‏ @BolognaFishMD 3 May 2020

        Bologna Fish, M.D. Retweeted World Health Organization (WHO)

        https://twitter.com/WHO/status/1223659708072038400?s=20 …

        Bologna Fish, M.D. added,

        World Health Organization (WHO)Verified account @WHO
        Asymptomatic #2019nCoV infection may be rare, and transmission from an asymptomatic person is very rare with other coronaviruses, as we have seen with MERS. Thus, transmission from asymptomatic cases is likely not a major driver of transmission http://bit.ly/36QhfKq  pic.twitter.com/Zh8ifwP4XA
        Show this thread
        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Bologna Fish, M.D.‏ @BolognaFishMD 3 May 2020

        'rare' vs. something like half? 🧐

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Bologna Fish, M.D.‏ @BolognaFishMD 4 May 2020

        April 2nd Situation report: "There are few reports of laboratory-confirmed cases who are truly asymptomatic, and to date, there has been no documented asymptomatic transmission. This does not exclude the possibility that it may occur." https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200402-sitrep-73-covid-19.pdf …

        2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Bologna Fish, M.D.‏ @BolognaFishMD 8 Jun 2020

        Bologna Fish, M.D. Retweeted Bologna Fish, M.D.

        https://twitter.com/BolognaFishMD/status/1270095284735864832?s=20 …

        Bologna Fish, M.D. added,

        Bologna Fish, M.D. @BolognaFishMD
        "The World Health Organization has maintained that asymptomatic spread is not a main driver of the pandemic and probably accounts for about 6% of spread, at most." https://twitter.com/KING5Seattle/status/1270090768951029765 …
        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Bologna Fish, M.D.‏ @BolognaFishMD 21 Nov 2020

        Bologna Fish, M.D. Retweeted World Health Organization (WHO)

        https://twitter.com/WHO/status/1270740973195341827?s=20 …

        Bologna Fish, M.D. added,

        World Health Organization (WHO)Verified account @WHO
        "Since early February, we have said that asymptomatic people can transmit #COVID19, but that we need more research to establish the extent of asymptomatic transmission. That research is ongoing"-@DrTedros
        Show this thread
        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        Show this thread
      10. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. QuantAndHold  🌊‏ @HoldQuant 4 May 2020
        Replying to @BolognaFishMD

        My approach with events that have a long right tail is to be conservative. "Don't need to wear a mask" => I wear a mask. "Asymptomatic cases not spreading" => assume they are. "US has few cases" => I know US has a lot of cases, etc. Can't go wrong by being conservative.

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. Bologna Fish, M.D.‏ @BolognaFishMD 4 May 2020
        Replying to @HoldQuant

        It's a heuristic with advantages.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Show replies

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