Iowa Coccyx

@BobbyBigWheel

Director of Research . Co-creator of Give Smart and a human child. I know a lot about state legislatures. Tweets only represent my own weird brain

In the states
Vrijeme pridruživanja: rujan 2009.

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  1. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 2 sata

    I’ll be the first to admit it: mistakes were made...

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  2. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    it’s truly astounding how quickly the conventional wisdom re: what America is like went from “Donald Trump could never win a presidential election” to “basically no one can beat Donald Trump in a presidential election”

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  3. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Some perspective on the Iowa vote tabulation app: This is far from the worst that could have happened. Results will be tabulated correctly, if a bit more slowly than news junkies preferred. The key to securing elections is resilience. 1/6

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  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Some context for all this: The DNC spent roughly two years hammering out new caucus/primary rules, and even new debate rules, with heavy Bernie-world input. Mission one: Create a process that Sanders voters would consider fair. And in one night, it's all gone.

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    My own theory on what’s going on is that Trump is basically getting a polling sugar high from impeachment hyper-charging Republicans - something akin to the Romney surge following first debate in 2012. But that is only a hunch

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  6. prije 3 sata

    American elections are basically a kludge thrown together without anyone contemplating immediate reporting and are so damn ripe for information warfare immediately thereafter. We're seeing how November 2020 could go right now (we also saw it in 2000).

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  7. prije 3 sata

    I remember during the Conor Lamb special some guy was telling me the fix was in because one of the counties was taking all night to report. That county's election administrator makes something like $55,000 a year and she almost never works past 5 pm.

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    if i weren’t already working on something the iowa debacle might be the excuse i need to write my “the parties should get cable and network news out of the nomination process as much as possible” take

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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    This is easily Trump’s best number in Gallup polling over 3+ years.

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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    The Iowa caucus debacle is about rapid reporting of results, not about voting itself. Please keep those two things separate. The votes are backed on paper. The problem was the delivery system for reporting results quickly.

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    In fairness to Iowa, in my home state of California, home to Silicon Valley, it can take weeks to get the final results of an election to make sure all votes are counted. What is most important right now is the not the news cycle, but to get it right.

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  12. prije 3 sata

    On its own the Iowa caucus won’t have that much of an effect but in 8 months you’ll be out canvassing and someone will be voting for a third party because of it and like 3 other fuckups to come.

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  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    A completely sincere thought: Thousands of totally well-meaning people spent a year of their lives working for candidates and their reward was being part of a historic debacle, because the state party fumbled an app. It’s infuriating.

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  14. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    really though the big loser today is, once again, the caucus system, which should be drawn, quartered, and dropped into molten steel

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  15. prije 7 sati

    I still don't think Trump wins in November but today you're seeing how he can. If Democrats can fuck up and have its worst faith actors across its ideological spectrum claim a conspiracy then we can get a 2016 rerun.

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  16. prije 10 sati

    As the only person who was right about the Iowa Caucuses yes, I will go on your podcast.

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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    These conspiracy theories are so nuts. A major problem with the caucuses is that there's *no secret ballot*. The results of many precincts are on twitter. There's room for lots of temporary chaos and incompetence, but not really for much deceit.

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  18. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    My hat’s off to the dean of IA political journalists, , who presciently predicted when we were teaching at last spring that Dems’ new bells and whistles would create a results reporting mess.

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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Sanders campaign releases internal figures for "nearly 40%" of Iowa precincts.

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  20. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    CEO of the company behind Shadow, creator of the Iowa caucus app 👇👇👇

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