i visited the @Tesla #gigafactory a couple of months ago and had the privilege of speaking with a few engineers on their storage team.
i came away convinced that there’s a lot of innovation to come & much further to descend the cost curve… they’re really just getting started.
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so can you work out why the Hornsdale Power Reserve 64.5MWh expansion is costing $71m, so over $1k/kWh..? Certainly doesn't match that chart, BoP shouldn't add that much. Perhaps future expansion costs were set in the original contract for phase 1...?
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So remember those bearish forecasts for EVs by 2030 because batteries will be too expensive? Well, guess what, they are almost certainly wrong as EVs are likely to be cheaper than gas cars perhaps as soon as 2025! And with cheaper operating costs...
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Try 2021. And in 2025 gas cars sells will drop to 0 according to Seba.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=duWFnukFJhQ …
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I can’t BFed doing the exact figures, but roughly: 20kwh per day @ $0.30 x 365 = $2200 20kwh In batteries = $3000 Solar system after rebate = $3000 After 3 years, free electricity for next 12 years, for anyone with $6k available to invest today.
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note that you still need to package the cells into packs with all the ‘balance of plant’ (inverter, charger, controller, cooling, enclosure) to be a storage device. this puts the cost closer to A$750/kWh.
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As we get to $100/kWh another thing will happen: One-million-mile BEVs will arrive well before 2025, it will be devastating for entire auto industry, total chaos ahead with huge layoffs. But it will be good for our planet. Cc
@JamesTFrith@jwangARK@ARKInvest@CathieDWood@Tesla - Još 1 odgovor
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This is pack level, not cell level.
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Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
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