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We're told solar and wind future But when wind is not blowing and sun not shining? Batteries! Yet Asia uses 25GWh/minute and has 13GWh of battery storage: enough for just 31 seconds 2030: 9m:55s After that, need 100% backup, mostly fossil fuels https://woodmac.com/news/opinion/the-growth-and-growth-of-the-global-energy-storage-market/ …pic.twitter.com/jMIUAiWeaI
This is similar to what we see in Europe, with batteries able to supply a little more than 1 minute of average electricity consumption now and about 12 minutes in 2030 https://twitter.com/BjornLomborg/status/1476929472800727046 …pic.twitter.com/fbq98awok1
Lots of people commented suggesting we can fix this Yes, we can, but it makes 𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗲𝘄𝗮𝗯𝗹𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘀𝘁𝗹𝗶𝗲𝗿 because we need to pay for backup Solar costs go up 4-7x, from being some of the cheapest electricity to very expensive https://www.lazard.com/perspective/levelized-cost-of-energy-levelized-cost-of-storage-and-levelized-cost-of-hydrogen/ …pic.twitter.com/driD2hP6J9
People suggest that 'it is always windy somewhere', but 1) not sufficient throughput between regions 2) European 2021 wind drought showed us it can be less windy almost everywhere depleting other sources of energy and end up costing us a fortune https://www.ft.com/content/d53b5843-dbe0-4724-8adf-75c66127ea80 …pic.twitter.com/wTrYwV6csV
How much is a couple of minutes of electricity storage? Not much Every year in Germany, there are more than 5 days (120hr/7,320 minutes) with almost no wind, and every 10 years almost 8 days without wind (186hr/11,160minutes) https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ab91e9/pdf …pic.twitter.com/clXlfKyIPY
Stagnation fallacy. Battery tech won't improve in 10 years time?
you ignore pumped storage
over and over again, it has been SHOWN how wind water and solar (and storage) can economically sustain all countries of the world with zero fossil https://web.stanford.edu/group/efmh/jacobson/Articles/I/CountriesWWS.pdf …. Why do you CHOOSE to ignore ?
"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." Richard Feynman
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