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New, interesting paper on climate tipping points: Most make global warming worse some better (AMOC or 'Gulf Stream' slowing down⇒cooler temps) In total, damages 24.5% bigger So, correct problem, but often blown vastly out of proportion https://www.pnas.org/content/118/34/e2103081118 …pic.twitter.com/4ICFIdnkZ0
e.g. Nordhaus (climate Nobel economist) studied collapse of Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS, study included) and found that tipping point would take millennia to have a significant impact, which is why it 'only' increases damages by 1.8% https://www.pnas.org/content/116/25/12261 … https://www.pnas.org/content/118/34/e2103081118 …pic.twitter.com/CGZJ3d9hRA
Interestingly, the increase in total costs from tipping points at 24.5% is very close to Nordhaus' back-of-the-envelope 25% increase in total climate damages from unquantified costs (of course, other unquantified costs than tipping points) https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162520304157 …pic.twitter.com/ixuXIoRPEx
Not good news @BjornLomborg last time golf stream got colder (lack of salt) we Got the ice age
"As discussed below, this should be seen as a probable underestimate, given the literature we synthesize has yet to cover some tipping points, and misses possible impact channels and interactions even for those it does cover."
Where's your google scholar account?
You made me really think of this skit from I Think You Should Leavehttps://youtu.be/buK45NW_ikI?t=205 …
Don't you ever get tired of misinterpreting data all the time?pic.twitter.com/tzMeOX89Va
Dishonest Taken out of context (which is why there is no link: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2008/oct/14/climatechange-scienceofclimatechange …) Argues we should check our models against data and experience Entirely ignores that I *right before* confirm sea level rise And here from my earlier Guardian https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2008/jul/14/climatechange …pic.twitter.com/tfb7QM6QIj
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