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Despite breathless climate reporting about ever-increasing fires US fires burn much less today Even with extreme warming, area burned will stay about same across century Climate does increase burned area, but zoning and forest management much more important Thread for refspic.twitter.com/cZODwWSO7t
We actually have good decadal estimates of US wildfire from 1900 2020 saw just 11% of the area burned 𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘆 year in 1900s (1900-1909) https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.00920.x … https://www.nifc.gov/fire-information/statistics/wildfires … data credibility: https://twitter.com/BjornLomborg/status/1353012754462998529 …pic.twitter.com/OV9KNrW37C
Climate change played a minor role in the wildfires that devastated California in the past three years, a panel of experts said yesterday, blaming most on land management and development. "25% ...from climate change, and 75% is the way we manage lands" https://eenews.net/stories/1062029829 …pic.twitter.com/X5JFLlXEhm
A large part of the reduction is due to fire suppression, and it is plausible that a part of the uptick over the past decades is due to climate But we're badly informed, when e.g. Economist just say “wildfire in America has quadrupled in 40 years” https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2021/07/08/a-third-of-americans-deny-human-caused-climate-change-exists …pic.twitter.com/75FynnwiiD
If the entire world keeps burning a crazy amount of fossil fuels, annual burned area will stay about constant EPA estimates for the Fourth National Climate Assessment, https://cfpub.epa.gov/si/si_public_record_Report.cfm?Lab=OAP&dirEntryId=335095 …pic.twitter.com/SZQXh7j0T0
If the entire world reduces CO₂ emissions dramatically — about 70% — it means just slightly lower burned area in 2100 It should be obvious that zoning and forest management is much quicker, cheaper and will help many more people better, fasterpic.twitter.com/bvXOdhtXq7
More houses and more houses are being built in high-risk areas for wildfires Maybe our first wildfire policy should focus much more on stopping people from building in vulnerable areas? And then better fire regulation for those who stay? https://sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162520304157 …pic.twitter.com/I6s1yxjBf0
Despite breathless climate reporting about ever-more fires US fires burn 5-10x less today Even with extreme warming, area burned stays about same across century Climate does increase burned area, but zoning and forest management much more important https://twitter.com/BjornLomborg/status/1353012739736817666 …pic.twitter.com/6vb7xr9oJr
@GretaThunberg does not like this fact.
The saddest part of this is the fact that Lomborg knows what he's saying is wrong. It's well understood that past figures on US fires are not reliable and cannot be compared with more recent data. But still he insists on posting this online to deliberately misinform people.
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