Research: today, climate change causes 100,000 more heat deaths Research ignored cold deaths, but rising temperatures mean we avoid more cold deaths, possibly avoiding 200,000 deaths We're not well-informed if we only hear first, but not second numberhttps://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2021/06/25/climate-change-science-media-spread-fears-ignore-possible-positives/7738009002/ …
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Using population average, twice as many people don't die from cold as die extra from heat As the researchers roughly estimate the extra deaths at 100,000, that means ~200,000 fewer die from cold Not telling the full story is not informing us well https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2021/06/25/climate-change-science-media-spread-fears-ignore-possible-positives/7738009002/ …pic.twitter.com/I1Et0RwlMC
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Bc data limitations, better impact studies for richer, less hot countries If we assume that missing world is more like Southeast Asia, avoided cold deaths are 'only' 50% higher than extra heat deaths (so 100K more heat deaths, 150K fewer cold deaths) https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(17)30156-0/fulltext …pic.twitter.com/etHIadTWsR
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Notice, despite global warming, cold deaths are going up many places Why? Cold deaths are much harder to stop Heat deaths can be avoided w/air conditioning for a few days Cold deaths need better heating for many monthspic.twitter.com/Uh9BQxSfPP
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As stronger global warming policies drive up heating costs being properly heated for months becomes harder for marginalized groups In the US, lower gas prices meant better heating, and 11,000 avoided cold deaths Higher energy costs reverse that https://www.nber.org/papers/w25681 pic.twitter.com/FXLo8R37Dl
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Kiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
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Because science...
Kiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
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Uhm... "Results indicate, on average, a net increase in temperature-related excess mortality under high-emission scenarios"
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yes, net increase under unrealistic RCP8.5 towards end of century; I'm discussing the difference between 1990s and 2010s, ie what has happened untill today I also note that caveat in opedpic.twitter.com/waR7fn8cTH
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Kiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
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