Bjorn Lomborg Twitterissä: "UN# incredibly off Real tornado numbers 100x higher than UN numbers, but that includes mostly machine-noticed EF0 tornados Yet, even strong tornados are 10x higher, EF4+ still 2-3x higher, and EF5s 41-12, all declining UN shows that last 20 yrs 2.2x higher than reality… https://t.co/BEE0QRAJC0"

Maa	Koodi	Asiakkaille yrityksessä
Yhdysvallat	40404	(mikä tahansa)
Kanada	21212	(mikä tahansa)
Yhdistynyt kuningaskunta	86444	Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
Brasilia	40404	Nextel, TIM
Haiti	40404	Digicel, Voila
Irlanti	51210	Vodafone, O2
Intia	53000	Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
Indonesia	89887	AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
Italia	4880804	Wind
3424486444	Vodafone
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Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 14. lokak. 2020

Not only has *actual* death data halved Because population increased by 73% over 1980-2019, death risk has dropped by almost two-thirds Report here: https://www.undrr.org/news/drrday-report-dramatic-rise-climate-disasters-over-last-20-years …pic.twitter.com/RCrJ5uFC6a

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Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 14. lokak. 2020

Known for a long time that actual death from climate-related disasters is not increasing Death from climate-related disasters has declined 95% Death risk from climate-related disasters has declined 99% Leads to *very* different understanding of world https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162520304157 …pic.twitter.com/X43iBaoJex

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Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 14. lokak. 2020

Because climate-related deaths are down, the report instead focuses on "number of affected" It claims number of affected are up. But so is population Proportion is actually *down* Oops Report here: https://www.undrr.org/news/drrday-report-dramatic-rise-climate-disasters-over-last-20-years … Data here: https://public.emdat.be pic.twitter.com/JLd8LxL5o1

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Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 14. lokak. 2020

UN claims number of climate-related incidents have increased But this is mainly an issue of reporting: as we get closer to today, the database has many more reports of small disasters Report here: https://www.undrr.org/news/drrday-report-dramatic-rise-climate-disasters-over-last-20-years … Data here: https://public.emdat.be pic.twitter.com/BvYGEQfzR3

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Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 14. lokak. 2020

UN claims number of climate-related incidents have increased But this is mainly an issue of reporting: as we get closer to today, the database has many more reports of small disasters Small incidents have been increasing, large incidents have been decreasingpic.twitter.com/5XM5UVZXa9

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Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 14. lokak. 2020

Easiest way to see the UN report is simply wrong is to compare their stats to actual well-documented data We have great stats for US hurricanes, and reassuringly, UN and reality is reasonably in agreement (as expected, deaths better registered) Data: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-011-9849-x …pic.twitter.com/2uPL0rnwbf

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Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 14. lokak. 2020

Comparing the UN report with actual data shows that its *numbers* of catastrophes are wildly wrong Whereas the actual number of US landfalling hurricanes have slightly decreased, the UN show ever-increasing numbers https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/99/7/1359/70330/Continental-U-S-Hurricane-Landfall-Frequency-and …pic.twitter.com/pvzLxThvne

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Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 14. lokak. 2020

Another way to see the UN report is wrong is to look at US tornados. We have good stats, but here even deaths are off for UN It seems UN caught few deaths in the early part, only converging in last 40 years Data: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/#data pic.twitter.com/3qlqKwrfE4

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Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 14. lokak. 2020

As US population doubled over period, here is death risk — same overall point, that UN only converge towards end-of-period (Also, one stand-out is 1963, where EM-DAT has higher deaths, from Gainsville GA — probably miscoded, should be 1936) Data: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/#data pic.twitter.com/jVtnjGlGDi

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Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 14. lokak. 2020

UN data is just terribly off on number US tornados Reality is that strong US tornados (EF3+) have almost halved Whereas UN data thinks it has increased 13-fold Data: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/#data pic.twitter.com/2R6YORxrdD

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Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 14. lokak. 2020

UN# incredibly off Real tornado numbers 100x higher than UN numbers, but that includes mostly machine-noticed EF0 tornados Yet, even strong tornados are 10x higher, EF4+ still 2-3x higher, and EF5s 41-12, all declining UN shows that last 20 yrs 2.2x higher than realitypic.twitter.com/NHqXpVEsaz