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I am skeptical because when looking into this previously I found that old records often just recorded things as "Fire in Johnson and Henderson Counties" which subsequently would get tallied as the *entire* acreage of those counties, regardless of how much actually burned.
I'd be very interested if you have access to those references I wrote about this before, and certainly, these numbers were widely referenced and accepted in the 1930s and 40s https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162520304157 …pic.twitter.com/CQMu78Wtd6
In those days they did not have aerial photography or other good methods of coming up with reliable or accurate acreages and estimates were VERY rough. Saw similar issues with Australia data.
And the estimates from that earlier time period do not appear to correlate well with what one would expect relative to forest production quantities, mitigation costs, housing/lives lost et cetera. That's why I question accuracy and reliability of those acreage estimates.
Here is an example. That says 18 million acres burned in Florida in 1930. Florida only has 36 million acres of land. That's fully half the state burned. Half. Yet how many fatalities or homes lost?
Um, the population of Florida was 1.4M in 1930. The state is 66 million square miles. It's not hard to fathom that these blazes occurred in the (vast) depopulated areas.
This account cites 15 million acres of forest in Florida in 1925, if 18 million acres burned in 1930, how much forest does that leave and how was Florida timber industry not almost completely devastated? http://fcit.usf.edu/florida/docs/l/lumber.htm …
Then it would matter where the fires were. @BjyornLomborg's post suggests that most of the fires were deliberately lit by the hand of ranchers, which would mean most floridian fires occurred in pastureland rather than forest.
You say the data says 18 million of Florida's 36 million acres burned in 1930. 15 million of Florida's acreage is open water and wetlands. That leaves 21 million burnable acres. 18 million of 21 million acres burned would mean 86% of Florida burned. The data makes no sense.
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