This is deep. Math intense at the start, but eye opening.
Behavioral SIR model (Imperial College model + behavior change: go less to restaurants when deadly virus) leads to very different outcome: First exponential increase, then everyone adjusts, then slow burn infection until everyone infected https://johnhcochrane.blogspot.com/2020/05/an-sir-model-with-behavior.html …pic.twitter.com/1G0zX4pY9T
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Kiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
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How close does the adjusted model correlate to the measured reality of excess deaths? Do you have that info? Correlation is not causation but it is a necessary prerequisite for it.
Kiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
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I have an update: between 30% and 50% of the population can have partial or total immunity from a previous coronavirus influenza attack. This reduces the threshold for herd immunity, and may explain why the disease wanes in a similar fashion in most countries.pic.twitter.com/WmqTBVRXlp
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Thanks for pursuing truth and extending our understanding.
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