Bjorn Lomborg Twitterissä: "Malawi should continue a series of sensible low-cost social distancing measures like cocooning the elderly, no large gatherings and handwashing. It should keep health services for eg tuberculosis, malaria and vaccinations running. It should provide masks for health personnel."

@BjornLomborg

Author of 'False Alarm', 'Cool It' and 'Skeptical Environmentalist', president Copenhagen Consensus think tank: smart solutions through economic prioritization

Malmö, Sweden

Liittynyt joulukuu 2009

Maa	Koodi	Asiakkaille yrityksessä
Yhdysvallat	40404	(mikä tahansa)
Kanada	21212	(mikä tahansa)
Yhdistynyt kuningaskunta	86444	Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
Brasilia	40404	Nextel, TIM
Haiti	40404	Digicel, Voila
Irlanti	51210	Vodafone, O2
Intia	53000	Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
Indonesia	89887	AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
Italia	4880804	Wind
3424486444	Vodafone
» Näytä muiden maiden lyhytnumerot tekstiviesteille

Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 21. toukok. 2020

Even moderate lockdowns likely a terrible idea for poorer nations We did a study with Malawi's National Planning Commission: Lockdown avoids about 7,000 deaths but costs $12 billion $3 million can avoid more deaths in Malawi (4,000 times cheaper) https://www.npc.mw/docs/NPC%20COVID%20cost%20benefit%20analysis%20Malawi.pdf …pic.twitter.com/dAL2J9qc5h

4 vastausta 53 uudelleentwiittausta 81 tykkäystä

Näytä tämä ketju

Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 21. toukok. 2020

Imperial College finds that moderate social distancing reduces COVID death by about 12,000. We also expect less traffic deaths and less additional HIV death. Lockdown will also cause more malnutrition, tuberculosis and malaria, leading to a net benefit of 6,700 avoided deaths

3 vastausta 5 uudelleentwiittausta 20 tykkäystä

Näytä tämä ketju

Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 21. toukok. 2020

The costs are: 1) shut down schools which leads to long-term lower child productivity. Since each extra school year increases wages by 12%, school lockdown cost is $5.2 billion (almost one year GDP) — the present value of income loss for 6 million children over the next 50 years

2 vastausta 3 uudelleentwiittausta 13 tykkäystä

Näytä tämä ketju

Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 21. toukok. 2020

2) Economic cost in GDP. Doing nothing will still see lower productivity, but a moderate lockdown will reduce GDP even more. In total, the cost is estimated at $6.7 billion (again, almost one year of GDP).

1 vastaus 5 uudelleentwiittausta 9 tykkäystä

Näytä tämä ketju

Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 21. toukok. 2020

In total, each dollar spent on moderate corona policies will generate 4¢ of benefits When people say "we should save all lives" that may be somewhat true in rich countries But in Malawi, 22,000 die each year from HIV, and almost all could be saved

1 vastaus 9 uudelleentwiittausta 33 tykkäystä

Näytä tämä ketju

Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 21. toukok. 2020

$3 million can save 12,000 people (equal to *all* the people saved from corona) through nutrition for HIV infected Spending $3 million to save *more* people, is better than spending $12 billion and saving fewer

1 vastaus 4 uudelleentwiittausta 15 tykkäystä

Näytä tämä ketju

Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 21. toukok. 2020

Because moderate social distancing mostly save older people but cause more deaths in younger people, in total we estimate corona policies will cause *more* life years lost

2 vastausta 3 uudelleentwiittausta 18 tykkäystä

Näytä tämä ketju

Bjorn Lomborg‏Varmennettu tili @BjornLomborg 21. toukok. 2020

Malawi should continue a series of sensible low-cost social distancing measures like cocooning the elderly, no large gatherings and handwashing. It should keep health services for eg tuberculosis, malaria and vaccinations running. It should provide masks for health personnel.

8.43 - 21. toukok. 2020