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Moderate social distancing - has more deaths in short run, but much fewer in long run - is sustainable, because 1) people can live locked down like Sweden but not like Italy in long run; 2) long-run lockdown costs lower https://twitter.com/i/status/1250837429910724613 … https://www.forbes.com/sites/bjornlomborg/2020/04/09/save-lives-and-avoid-a-catastrophic-recession/#14cab5966f92 …
Here is my Forbes article making that pointhttps://www.forbes.com/sites/bjornlomborg/2020/04/09/save-lives-and-avoid-a-catastrophic-recession/#14cab5966f92 …
The key is to have people wear a mask and eye protection, but exempt from this requirement those with antibodies, who can wear a bracelet engraved with "Wuhan Virus Survivor".
Yeah no thank you.
Are shops closed ? If so the point is close to moot. Researchers are having a very hard time finding cases of people who were infected outdoors. It's homes, churches, cruises,..So let people venture in the park but keep indoor activities to a minimum as long as the V is spreading
We weren't so sure a month ago. Now we have more information and most importantly Norwegian hospitals weren't overwhelmed like Italy's. Let's find a way to make things sustainable, yes, but let's keep experimentation on the side of too much precaution rather than the opposite.
There's a reason you're my favorite, younger economist...
It currently seems as the Swedish way is optimizing for maximum deaths over time. Infect as many as possible w/o destroying healthcare. It also seems that half-speed on the economy is having the same effect, suffocating businesses as much as possible long term. 1/2
The gov't "help" is basically big loans to big corps. Small businesses evidently targeted for destruction. Big corps targeted for socialisation as gov't wants equity for money. In summary the worst possible combination of strategies, both in terms of human lives and economy 2/2.
Good article. But sadly nobody’s listening, Bjorn. The shit we’re seeing with US governors and England is baked in. Just like climate alarmism.
"There is also the impact of economic damage, which can be immense. I studied what happened in Russia, following the breakup of the Soviet Union, and the economic and social chaos that ensued. There was a massive spike in premature deaths. "https://drmalcolmkendrick.org/
The measures in place in Sweden are putting tremendous strain on the healthcare system (https://www.thelocal.se/20200406/stockholm-field-hospital-to-open-its-doors-to-coronavirus-patients …) and there's no evidence that Sweden is doing any better economically (https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/04/08/is-swedens-lax-approach-coronavirus-backfiring/ …)
No evidence that it’s “doing any better?” What exactly does that mean? Is there any evidence that their economy has crashed, like ours? - 10% contraction on latest estimates, with 78,000 out of work. I’ll bet suicides already outstrip #covid19 deaths
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