This is why moderate distancing is a more plausible and sustainable long-term strategyhttps://twitter.com/BjornLomborg/status/1250837429910724613 …
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Hard to keep people locked down: In Norway: 1st week after lockdown 65% movement reduction One month later, only 34% reduction (based on mobile data, https://www.nrk.no/norge/mer-bevegelse-tross-strenge-korona-tiltak-1.14987146 …)
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Moderate social distancing - has more deaths in short run, but much fewer in long run - is sustainable, because 1) people can live locked down like Sweden but not like Italy in long run; 2) long-run lockdown costs lower https://twitter.com/i/status/1250837429910724613 … https://www.forbes.com/sites/bjornlomborg/2020/04/09/save-lives-and-avoid-a-catastrophic-recession/#14cab5966f92 …
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Here is my Forbes article making that pointhttps://www.forbes.com/sites/bjornlomborg/2020/04/09/save-lives-and-avoid-a-catastrophic-recession/#14cab5966f92 …
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Kiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
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It's hard to keep people locked down, but one also has to consider that leadership has communicated "We have some control over the situtation" I think people have a feeling it's already over here, which might cause more risky behavior
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The logical point of a strict lockdown must be to give time for preparations of the health system. Undoubtedly there is also a political point to show assertiveness and this may be tricky in some places when it gets time to reverse to more moderate measures.
Kiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
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It should be pointed out that the Norwegian "lockdown" has _never_ involved curfew/house arrest for the general population. As long as people maintain 2 meters distance and avoid groups of >5 persons, we've been free (to some degree even encouraged) to leave the house, so...
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Because you guys are a civilised, responsible society. In other countries, though...
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