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New modeling report on corona in Stockholm shows - infections peaked a couple of days ago - about ⅓ have been infected by now - in a month, corona infections will be almost over and Stockholm close to herd immunity https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.15.20066050v1.full.pdf … https://www.facebook.com/tom.britton.9237/posts/1633988356757011 …pic.twitter.com/9afOgm4a4C
The report is a mathematical model, not an empirical study The Swedish chief epidemiologist says it is in line with their information and other studies and could well be true, but he emphasizes that there is still much uncertaintyhttps://www.expressen.se/nyheter/coronaviruset/just-nu-111-nya-dodsfall-i-sverige-totalt-1511-doda/ …
If the Sweden model is correct the number of deaths per capita should end up fairly similar across the European countries. If that is the case at some point countries like Germany will catch up and surpass Sweden’s daily numbers (adjusted per million)
"The report is a bullshit mathematical model, not an empirical study" There, fixed it for you.
Get him @nntaleb
Ah...another mathematical study...
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