The Science paper explicitly points out that the most effective policy is "moderately effective social distancing"pic.twitter.com/tswlyALAVa
Näytä tämä ketju
Corona: Moderate social distancing is very smart But often overlooked: Too strict policies will actually lead to more overall critical illness and death Too strict sees little infection, and then huge 2nd wave when restrictions lifted late August https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/04/14/science.abb5793 …pic.twitter.com/JoPqEDShZc
-
-
-
Here is the same point from an idealized study on the Spanish Flu, designating the strict policy as "too effective" https://www.pnas.org/content/104/18/7588 …pic.twitter.com/eLUKVWntaT
Näytä tämä ketju -
The only other alternative is to keep society locked down permanently or intermittently until 2022, which seems entirely unsustainable -both in that people will not accept such long lockdowns, and -that economic costs will escalate way beyond the acceptablepic.twitter.com/oyTkGEnCk5
Näytä tämä ketju -
Sweden likely good example of moderate social distancing (70+ and sick self-isolate, little unnecessary travel, work from home if possible, some schools shut etc.) It keeps critical infections below capacity. But most people still live their lives, go to school, work, shop, eat
Näytä tämä ketju -
Conclusion, moderate social distancing - has more deaths in short run, but much fewer in long run (Science article) - is sustainable, because 1) people can live locked down like Sweden but not like Italy in long run; 2) long-run lockdown costs lowerhttps://www.forbes.com/sites/bjornlomborg/2020/04/09/save-lives-and-avoid-a-catastrophic-recession/#14cab5966f92 …
Näytä tämä ketju
Keskustelun loppu
Uusi keskustelu -
-
-
Seria bueno que lo revisaran
@HLGatellKiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
-
-
-
We won't get rid of this virus by any measure unless zero people interact with zero people. Shelter in place was designed to keep the healthcare system from being overwhelmed at a given time, not to eliminate the infection.
-
No one is "getting rid" of this virus. Do you honestly think that's anyone's goal?
Keskustelun loppu
Uusi keskustelu -
-
-
1. "Until a vaccine is developed" may not happen. 0 guarantee there will be a viable vaccine. 2. Immunity may NOT be long term, as other coronaviruses. Reinfection may be possible. Therefore, we have to learn to live with this virus indefinitely. Long term shut down is not okay.
Kiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
-
-
-
Kiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
-
Lataaminen näyttää kestävän hetken.
Twitter saattaa olla ruuhkautunut tai ongelma on muuten hetkellinen. Yritä uudelleen tai käy Twitterin tilasivulla saadaksesi lisätietoja.