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Norway has made a preliminary estimate of costs and benefits to go for long-term suppression vs transitioning towards a more Sweden-like approach. Quick summary: Short-term lock-down is better Long-term Sweden-approach is better https://www.helsedirektoratet.no/tema/beredskap-og-krisehandtering/koronavirus/anbefalinger-og-beslutninger/Samfunns%C3%B8konomiske%20virkninger%20smitteverntiltak%20covid-19.pdf …pic.twitter.com/4CvHUx3qeO
This is a quick study, so clearly not last word. The long-term suppression is six months, and then re-opening. The breaking-scenario (towards Sweden) envisions an opening back, accepting a much higher death rate (12,400 dead vs 199 dead) but much smaller long-term hit to economy
The study also includes extra health care costs from more infection but not extra costs from closed schools, less learning, more social stress etc. The total cost difference is apparently 660B NOK, or $64B over 10 years (from table 2-7 and 4-2) — about $12K/person
China strategy is wrong ??
There is a middle road where we can loosen restrictions, get back to business, but do it in a way that keeps the rates of infection manageable. Grocery stores showed how to quickly convert a high risk environment to a low risk environment. This can be done for every industry!
In a month or so it will become clear that Sweden has got this right, and in a few more months very very clear as many countries grapple with a severe recession, unless businesses can be jump started back him where they were.
It's in Swedish so cannot understand. But what is happening in NYC and Italy is a result of not locking down. How does the study counter that?
Thanks!!
Bjørn jeg grinte af dig og dine teorier omkring klima forandringer ikke var meneske skabte da du først kom på TV i lille danmark for nu mange år siden . UNDSKYLD beviserne er jo overvældene du var simpelthen bare oppe imod overmagten . fortsæt arbejdet NU ER VI MANGE 
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