This is presumably the social distancing they are using from Australia 1918:pic.twitter.com/rEsgldN95p
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Draft cost-benefit analysis of corona shows that social distancing reducing interaction by 38% (like in Australia in 1918) will cost more, but deliver greater life-saving benefits worth $5 trillion more https://twitter.com/JBirdShogren/status/1242847997362237440 …pic.twitter.com/8LmDhAgE8E
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Kiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
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That cheered me up :)
Kiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
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Not agree; the most expensive patient is a dead one... Do you account Years of Life Expectancy?
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It's a good point too.
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I’m not an expert, but this analysis seems very simplistic and flawed at its core. Assumes 940,000 deaths in a ‘controlled’ scenario and 2 million in an uncontrolled? And assumes a fixed $ value for each death w/out adjusting for age? Will not age well.
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This Study becomes more meretricious every time I think about it. Not only does it massively overstate the potential death costs, but it also massively understates the costs to the economy in the ‘controlled‘ scenario.
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@BjornLomborg do you think ALL lives are worth $10m? Kind of impacts the result something fierce.... on the assumption that their source would have included an average slice of average population to come to $10m. -
I believe $10M is the standard the CDC uses for these kinds of estimates. Not that it couldn't be wrong.
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Even when most of those that will die are over 60?
Kiitos. Käytämme tätä aikajanasi parantamiseen. KumoaKumoa
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