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Yes, more people will be below the tide-line in 2050 because of sea-level rise, but it is likely that the *actual* number of people flooded will decline, not the least because developing income will more than double https://tntcat.iiasa.ac.at/SspDb pic.twitter.com/PXJoJjNTYK
And in its excitement to create worry, the NYTimes seems to forget the most important outcome of the new study: Even the strongest climate policy will make little difference What matters to improve people's lives is adaptationpic.twitter.com/hfi6gFW7gD
The most important outcome of the new study: Even the strongest climate policy will make little difference What matters to improve people's lives is adaptationpic.twitter.com/ugGwh4wKb8
The most important outcome of the new study: Even the strongest climate policy will make little difference also globally What matters to improve people's lives is adaptationpic.twitter.com/z73P5OWIzF
One has to wonder if NYTimes was misled by its prejudice to interpret an easy graph showing southern Vietnam almost entirely underwater in 2050 as catastrophe. What would have happened if they had seen the same 2050 graph for Holland? Would they have paused?pic.twitter.com/Zn2Kzh7INw
Just like for Vietnam, the difference between now and 2050 is smallpic.twitter.com/yxEH1fwgv4
Looking at the additional high tide risk areas for Holland in 2050, it is hard to tell any extra onespic.twitter.com/wvB2SbnBra
Maybe NYTimes should have hesitated when they saw the world's 14th largest airport underwater. (Again, academically correct, if you ignore dikes, but not good for predicting the end of Holland)pic.twitter.com/TVDDZEjzAQ
NYTimes should have shown us a new understanding of the issue of sea-level rise: Yes, challenge, but one we've already mostly successfully tackled for 110 million people around the world Instead, this misuse of an almost entirely red map for southern Vietnam generates *fear*pic.twitter.com/mWLO29dTbf
Many outlets ran with this, telling us that sea-level rise will put 20 million underwater, instead of actually showing us we're tackling it for almost 110 million nowpic.twitter.com/4C5GK6OQcx
One can only hope that NYTimes will update their reporting on this, *actually* showing the additional impact from now to 2050. That would be a useful understanding, showcasing what adaptation can actually achievepic.twitter.com/YSAxUkwput
There are three levels to climate alarmism. 1) Doomsday: What is reported in the media and predicted. 2) Worst case from measurements and linear trends. 3) Cycles: What actually happens.
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