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Here they use the argument that between 35-125 million people will get flooded each year, even at 2°C (but they conveniently forget to say, this is without adaptation)pic.twitter.com/x9ApgYpcBt
Here is the actual paper, they reference. Clearly, it states that this is without adaptation https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/full/10.1098/rsta.2016.0448 …pic.twitter.com/kFJSeQRR7c
And the very same lead author (Nicholls) has already long ago pointed out that if you include realistic adaptation, the scary numbers will collapse with adaptation "the problem of environmental refugees almost disappears." https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/full/10.1098/rsta.2010.0291 …pic.twitter.com/HGJMQgfZBR
Sure, if your goal is to scare people silly on climate, silly assumptions like no adaptation give you big, scary numbers But you also relinquish the right to be taken seriously This simply doesn't help inform the political discussion on smart climate policy
World leaders aren't misled but actually informed by sensible economic modeling (that includes realistic adaptation) But with arguments like this report, using absurd and unrealistic flood numbers, they are being misled by Nick Sternhttps://twitter.com/lordstern1/status/1174983819297845250 …
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