Here is the update from IPCC by Nobel Laureate Nordhaus of cost of climate change https://www.nber.org/reporter/2017number3/nordhaus.html …pic.twitter.com/SYvCz1ef1b
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Here is the update from IPCC by Nobel Laureate Nordhaus of cost of climate change https://www.nber.org/reporter/2017number3/nordhaus.html …pic.twitter.com/SYvCz1ef1b
Last time I checked the 6 degC scenario is highly unlikely and real world temperature trends are on the low side of the uncertainty band (more like 1 degC 0er century).
“Likely” is probably mean value of distribution. So 1.6% probability of catastrophic outcome can be consistent with that forecast as well.
The problem with that is that the IPCC Nordhaus economic modelling of #ClimateChange impact is utter bunkum, negligent and dangerous, ridiculously underestimating the impacts. You need to read some @ProfSteveKeen urgently:
https://twitter.com/ProfSteveKeen/status/1152346523541200896?s=20 …
#ClimateCrisis
Lomborg will never read them. He's a cheer leader for the climate change trivializing group of economists who write the parts of the IPCC Report that produce ridiculously low estimates of damage, far below what actual climate scientists fear will happen.
The IPCC is a conservative compromise that ignores tipping points. 2degrees of warming leads to a 6-9metre sea level rise. Yet Bjorn continues to trivialize the risks of the #ClimateEmergency
5° was the temperature difference in the last ice age. How is it plausible that 6° warming on a century time-scale would have less impact than the insolvency of a single US investment bank?
Are you high?
How does he account for 1) 29% of earth is land, 2) 95% of population live on 10% of land (EU Commission JRC, 2008), so ~3% of planet earth has man-made carbon burning activity (except air/watercraft). Is 3% enough to alter the natural heating/cooling cadence of Earth?
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