UN IPCC and US NCA — and I — agree that *future* climate change can increase flooding in some catchments p242 https://science2017.globalchange.gov/ pic.twitter.com/5xRLiCBUU1
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If she — contrary to the US NCA — really believed that these increases are caused by climate, why would she not similarly believe that the decrease of flooding in the Southwest is also caused by climate and hail it as a benefit?
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It is good that she is committed to a culture of truth But understanding what is written would help, toohttps://twitter.com/DoctorVive/status/1108153015083720705 …
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She also claims that climate change will get more and more dangerous every year I agree — in the limited sense that the IPCC evidence shows climate change will get costlier across the century But be honest about size and where extra costs will comehttps://twitter.com/DoctorVive/status/1108153015083720705 …
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Just look at the impact of US flooding. The cost of flooding has declined dramatically over the past century (measured as % GDP, since as we get richer, an identical flooding will flood two, more expensive houses rather than one)pic.twitter.com/PYrTVa27l6
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And cost of flooding, with any realistic adaptation, will likely continue to go down (although the cost of adaptation will be a real cost of climate) http://www.pnas.org/content/111/9/3292 …pic.twitter.com/f65as17ZHd
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Dr. Guenther claims I don't want people to know the truth No. I don't want misinformation saying that flood increases are due to climate when this is not supported by science Suggesting it is okay to make false claims to make people care is morally unsupportablepic.twitter.com/obcavWL7UA
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Finally, Dr. Guenther shows her class by venting without substance My work is about us spending $ to help best If over-worry on climate, we likely do badly (eg helping future flood victims with ineffective, expensive CO₂ cuts, rather than effective, better flood management)pic.twitter.com/dYTQLOXJUg
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So, no, Dr. Guenther: I speak for reason, life and being smart by investing where it helps humanity the most Your twitter tirade got the basics wrong and made twitter a bit uglier But facts and science are stubborn things
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