Clearly, I upset this person complaining about news not linking everything to climate I'll not stoop to her level of vitriol, but her claims are simply wrong Let's see...https://twitter.com/DoctorVive/status/1108150373695586304 …
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She then literally suggest I do a search for flooding, telling me I'll find the word passages she quotes above Sure, but you also have to read them — again, they tell us that warming might influence future flooding, but can't explain current higher and lower floodingpic.twitter.com/k7BlQVap9Y
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Now we get to the harsh stuff. Apparently, I'm lying because I correctly quote the US Climate Assessment's correct quote of the UN Climate Panelpic.twitter.com/UK4D9x1r8b
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And here is her piece-de-resistance: That there is another part of the US NCA that says "In fact, across the midwestern United States, statistically significant increases in flooding are well documented." She is so happy with this, she repeats it three timespic.twitter.com/1zXrtgDLon
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But this passage does not say, what she thinks it says. It says we've documented that there is more flooding in the Midwest. But that is exactly what the US NCA conclusion, I showed, says: There are documented/detectable both increases and decreases of flooding in the USpic.twitter.com/KiLNbJupRV
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But right after that, the US NCA correctly say, that we can't attribute either to climate change. It really isn't all that complicatedpic.twitter.com/e1MExeTHWL
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Yet, Dr. Guenther claims she just documented "established local links between climate change and extreme weather" She didn't. She showed documented increases in Midwest, but the NCA (not IPCC, as she claims) says these cannot be attributed to climate https://twitter.com/DoctorVive/status/1108152842953596934 …pic.twitter.com/ovXPmRyq7X
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It is fascinating how the feeling that climate must be causing this flooding, simply overrules that the NCA says that we can't link this to climate See her giddy excitement for all the references, but without properly understanding the text and contextpic.twitter.com/zJGpvnevbY
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If she — contrary to the US NCA — really believed that these increases are caused by climate, why would she not similarly believe that the decrease of flooding in the Southwest is also caused by climate and hail it as a benefit?
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It is good that she is committed to a culture of truth But understanding what is written would help, toohttps://twitter.com/DoctorVive/status/1108153015083720705 …
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She also claims that climate change will get more and more dangerous every year I agree — in the limited sense that the IPCC evidence shows climate change will get costlier across the century But be honest about size and where extra costs will comehttps://twitter.com/DoctorVive/status/1108153015083720705 …
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Just look at the impact of US flooding. The cost of flooding has declined dramatically over the past century (measured as % GDP, since as we get richer, an identical flooding will flood two, more expensive houses rather than one)pic.twitter.com/PYrTVa27l6
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And cost of flooding, with any realistic adaptation, will likely continue to go down (although the cost of adaptation will be a real cost of climate) http://www.pnas.org/content/111/9/3292 …pic.twitter.com/f65as17ZHd
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Dr. Guenther claims I don't want people to know the truth No. I don't want misinformation saying that flood increases are due to climate when this is not supported by science Suggesting it is okay to make false claims to make people care is morally unsupportablepic.twitter.com/obcavWL7UA
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Finally, Dr. Guenther shows her class by venting without substance My work is about us spending $ to help best If over-worry on climate, we likely do badly (eg helping future flood victims with ineffective, expensive CO₂ cuts, rather than effective, better flood management)pic.twitter.com/dYTQLOXJUg
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So, no, Dr. Guenther: I speak for reason, life and being smart by investing where it helps humanity the most Your twitter tirade got the basics wrong and made twitter a bit uglier But facts and science are stubborn things
#factsNotFeelingsNäytä tämä ketju
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