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So, using a "voice of reason" on climate means I'm "fucking up" the future of kids. You can scare kids with climate horror stories, and you're great. But you're spreading "insidious, creeping conspiracy BS" when pointing out the UN's Climate Panel seriously disagreeshttps://twitter.com/brodiegal/status/1106130065572679680 …
Remember, the UN Climate Panel estimates the net impact of uninterrupted climate change by the end of the century to be equivalent to an income loss of 2-4% of GDP Here update from climate Nobel economist Nordhaus: Problem, not catastrophe https://www.nber.org/reporter/2017number3/nordhaus.html …pic.twitter.com/89UFjScKMC
Remember also that the UN Climate Panel estimated that the economic impacts of climate would be "small" compared to most other impacts from changes in "population, age, income, technology, relative prices, lifestyle, regulation, governance" etc. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WGIIAR5-Chap10_FINAL.pdf …pic.twitter.com/dTfpXYF6Tj
It is not just about avoiding scaring our kids (and ourselves) It is also about getting it right on helping the world: The more resources we spend badly on climate the fewer resources to spend well on climate and to spend on all the other issues that need our attention
The act of assigning any credibility to models like these is itself a problem. Climate change is a given. The primary input by many orders of magnitude in the system is solar. Attempts to manage that are a fool's errand. The fossil record for climate change shows wild variation.
GDP seems a daft measure to measure the cost. Deloitte attempted to measure the value of the Great Barrier Reef to Australia. 56 billion. https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/au/Documents/Economics/deloitte-au-economics-great-barrier-reef-230617.pdf … and annual $126 billion cost to economy if Paris fails https://www.sbs.com.au/news/paris-agreement-failure-to-cost-australia-126-billion-a-year … What would you give to save it?
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