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Thanks, @FrancoisF24, for an interesting debate. Surprisingly, some seemed to resist inconvenient facts, so let me just outline what seemed to be the most controversial ones @rajendrashende, @MohamedNasheed, @hblandeshttps://twitter.com/F24Debate/status/1040269890572230656 …
No, the UN Climate Panel is *not* saying hurricanes are getting more frequent (though they might in some basins in the future) IPCC AR5, page 216 http://www.climatechange2013.org/images/report/WG1AR5_ALL_FINAL.pdf …pic.twitter.com/ck6v8aMuq3
Unfortunately @realDonaldTrump thinks he in importanter
No, hurricanes have not become more frequent – if you look at US landfall (the best and most robust measure), there has not been an increase since 1900 https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0184.1 …pic.twitter.com/icvQ72KA0B
No, strong hurricanes have not become more frequent – if you look at US landfall (the best and most robust measure), there has not been an increase of >cat 2 since 1900 https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0184.1 …pic.twitter.com/Yr1XS1ckRC
This is also true for global hurricane landfalls (data only from 1970) https://www.amazon.com/Rightful-Place-Science-Disasters-Climate/dp/0999587749/ …pic.twitter.com/bM8moGbM18
And global cost of weather-related disasters is not increasing https://theclimatefix.wordpress.com/2018/01/04/weather-disasters-as-proportion-of-global-gdp-1990-2017/ …pic.twitter.com/DgGnIJ4tSz
Deaths from climate-related disasters have dropped 97% over past 100 years, from about 500,000 to less than 20,000 (while global population 4x) https://www.facebook.com/bjornlomborg/photos/a.221758208967/10156615395793968/?type=3&theater …pic.twitter.com/EzajPT2OZg
The claim that green energy is ready to take over the world is simply wrong. If it was, we wouldn't need any expensive Paris agreement with most governments failing – we would all jump to go green. Solar & wind=0.8% today, 3.6% in 2040 https://www.facebook.com/bjornlomborg/photos/a.221758208967/10156494580633968/?type=3&theater …pic.twitter.com/2S17Wm1qo2
Perhaps more clear, renewables were close to 100% in the old days, but for the past 50 years, it has been very stable at 13-14% of global energy, and Paris will change that only 4-7 percentage points by 2040 https://www.facebook.com/bjornlomborg/photos/a.221758208967/10156258956543968/?type=3&theater …pic.twitter.com/qMeZOUPGTH
Solar and wind is not cheaper, and according to the International Energy Agency, they will still be the most expensive option both in the OECD and the rest of the world by 2040, *even* with a carbon tax. Yes, inconvenient, but yes, also important to hear https://www.facebook.com/bjornlomborg/photos/a.221758208967/10156696515988968/?type=3&theater …pic.twitter.com/nFFp5uXmBw
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