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@delong, why would you say that the severity of Hurricane Katrina, Sandy, Harvey and Maria was not merely a product of the increased density of coastal residential and commercial development, but due to climate?
Contrary to research (see next tweet)
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/climate-change-global-implications-by-j--bradford-delong-2018-09 …pic.twitter.com/iGMAFW7RFW
Contrary to new paper, that shows *when correcting for coastal development* (i.e. the damages if all hurricanes were to hit the US in 2017) there is no trend in damages https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0184.1 …pic.twitter.com/JJGRK0TTh3
And no, future will not get ever worse Even with stronger hurricanes bc climate, damage costs will *decline* from 0.04% of global GDP today to 0.02% of in 2100 (Had there been no global warming, damages would have declined further to 0.01% by 2100.) https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate1357 …pic.twitter.com/k4O6Jdp6mT
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