Nobody knows who the hell is gonna win the election, and if they say they're 93.8% sure, don't believe them.https://twitter.com/FiveThirtyEight/status/1224157228233625600 …
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The best and easiest assumption is that not everything will work like it has worked in the past which makes all these predictions no better than witchcraft.
If they’re used correctly they have some value, but the way they typically get used, especially by the media and pundits, can make them harmful.
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In the case of elections. . .I have always wondered, what would be an example of using these models correctly? How can they be of value for voters and democracy in general?
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That’s a fair question. For elections, I’m not sure there is a correct way of using them. Outside of elections, there is value. I have used them in healthcare and foster care to improve the system.
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